Sport Picks
Match Events
54'
54'
Sanchez Caballero R.
59'
59'
Heranz J.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between Alcorcon B and Mexico finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alcorcon B
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Mexico's 1.3 goals per match outpaces what Alcorcon B have produced (1.17).
- Alcorcon B are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Alcorcon B Clean Sheet 68%
Mexico Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alcorcon B | Mexico |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Mexico
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Alcorcon B
2:0
Feb 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Alcorcon B
3:2
Oct 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Mexico
1:1
Mar 5, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Alcorcon B
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alcorcon B Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanchez Caballero R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Mexico Compare
Top Goalscorer Heranz J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alcorcon B 95 / 100
Mexico 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alcorcon B Mexico
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alcorcon B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alcorcon B found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
Mexico's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Alcorcon B remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Alcorcon B VS Mexico
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Alcorcon B
(Home) 10 May
Trival Valderas
2 : 2 Alcorcon B
03 May
Alcorcon B
0 : 1 AD Torrejon
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4 Alcorcon B
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2 Alcorcon B
11 Apr
Alcorcon B
1 : 1 Mexico
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Alcorcon B
0 : 1 AD Torrejon
11 Apr
Alcorcon B
1 : 1 Mexico
28 Mar
Alcorcon B
1 : 1 Carabanchel
15 Mar
Alcorcon B
0 : 0 San Sebastian Reyes B
01 Mar
Alcorcon B
2 : 2 CD Las Rozas
Page 1 of 3
Mexico
(Away) 05 Sept
Mexico
0 : 0 CF Fuenlabrada
10 May
Leganes B
1 : 2 Mexico
03 May
Mexico
0 : 2 Trival Valderas
26 Apr
AD Torrejon
3 : 3 Mexico
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2 Parla
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Leganes B
1 : 2 Mexico
26 Apr
AD Torrejon
3 : 3 Mexico
11 Apr
Alcorcon B
1 : 1 Mexico
02 Apr
Galapagar
1 : 3 Mexico
22 Mar
Carabanchel
0 : 0 Mexico
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83:46 | 64 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 50:36 | 60 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:46 | 60 |
| 4 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:42 | 56 |
| 5 | Leganes B | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 63:33 | 54 |
| 6 | Union Adarve | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | CD Mostoles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51:45 | 51 |
| 8 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:35 | 49 |
| 9 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 40:33 | 48 |
| 10 | Galapagar | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 42:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Mexico | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:49 | 45 |
| 12 | Siello | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 13 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:34 | 44 |
| 14 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 32:44 | 43 |
| 15 | Carabanchel | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 40:65 | 33 |
| 17 | Parla | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 29:66 | 27 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 31:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
