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Alcudia vs Formentera

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Nunez A.

AI Match Summary

Alcudia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcudia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Alcudia
35%
Draws
37%
Formentera
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Formentera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Formentera have won more games recently than Alcudia.
  • Model gives Alcudia a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Alcudia Clean Sheet 15%
Formentera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcudia Formentera
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 10
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.34 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.66 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Formentera
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Alcudia
2:0
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Alcudia
3:1
Oct 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Formentera
0:2
Feb 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Formentera
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcudia Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Formentera Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcudia 41 / 100
Formentera 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcudia Formentera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcudia found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Formentera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Alcudia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alcudia VS Formentera
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcudia

(Home)
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0
Inter Ibiza
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1
Binissalem
Page 1 of 6

Formentera

(Away)
19 Sept
Llosetense
0 : 0
Formentera
13 Sept
Formentera
3 : 1
Porreres
05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1
Formentera
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2
Formentera
03 May
Formentera
3 : 1
Cardassar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)