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Alcudia vs Formentera

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Nunez A.

AI Match Summary

Alcudia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcudia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Alcudia
39%
Draws
30%
Formentera
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Formentera have won more games recently than Alcudia.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Alcudia Clean Sheet 10%
Formentera Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcudia Formentera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 10
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Formentera
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Alcudia
2:0
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Alcudia
3:1
Oct 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Formentera
0:2
Feb 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Formentera
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcudia Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Formentera Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcudia 30 / 100
Formentera 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcudia Formentera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcudia found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Alcudia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Formentera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Alcudia VS Formentera
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcudia

(Home)
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1
Binissalem
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2
Alcudia
18 Apr
Alcudia
2 : 2
Pena Deportiva
11 Apr
Portmany
3 : 1
Alcudia
Page 1 of 6

Formentera

(Away)
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2
Formentera
03 May
Formentera
3 : 1
Cardassar
26 Apr
Manacor
3 : 0
Formentera
19 Apr
Formentera
1 : 0
Mercadal
12 Apr
Binissalem
1 : 1
Formentera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mallorca B342662105:2284
2Manacor34245571:3977
3Pena Deportiva34208669:3068
4Constancia341951062:2962
5Llosetense341610859:4058
6Formentera341313840:2952
7Inter Ibiza341551442:4350
8Mercadal341541531:4549
9Cardassar341281438:5544
10Platges de Calvia341261641:4342
11Binissalem3410111326:3441
12Santanyi341181543:5841
13Alcudia341151837:6238
14CD Son Cladera341151841:6338
15Portmany34862025:5030
16Collerense346101841:6428
17Felanitx345111832:6226
18Rotlet Molinar34582134:6923
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)