Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2015/2016

Alcudia

4 - 1

Penya Ciutadella Esportiva

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2015/2016 game between Alcudia and Penya Ciutadella Esportiva finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alcudia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Alcudia

17%

Draws

13%

Penya Ciutadella Esportiva

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Alcudia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Alcudia come out ahead of Penya Ciutadella Esportiva on wins alone.
Model gives Alcudia a 70% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

Alcudia Clean Sheet 20%

Penya Ciutadella Esportiva Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alcudia	Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	12	4
Draws	5	9
Losses	14	17
Goals Scored	1	0
Goals Conceded	1	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Penya Ciutadella Esportiva vs Alcudia

Possession: 54% - 48% Cards: 3 - 0

0:2

Oct 2, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Alcudia vs Penya Ciutadella Esportiva

Possession: 58% - 42% Cards: 2 - 3

3:0

Feb 21, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Alcudia vs Penya Ciutadella Esportiva

Possession: 59% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

4:1

Oct 3, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Penya Ciutadella Esportiva vs Alcudia

Possession: 60% - 43% Cards: 0 - 3

2:2

Feb 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Alcudia vs Penya Ciutadella Esportiva

Possession: 46% - 43% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcudia 67 / 100

Penya Ciutadella Esportiva 15 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alcudia Penya Ciutadella Esportiva

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Alcudia scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Penya Ciutadella Esportiva conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Alcudia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alcudia VS -

1 Goals Scored 0

1 Goals Conceded 0

50% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mallorca B	38	24	8	6	79:29	80
2	Formentera	38	23	9	6	69:29	78
3	Pena Deportiva	38	21	11	6	63:32	74
4	Constancia	38	17	14	7	58:30	65
5	UD Poblense	38	16	14	8	57:30	62
6	Alcudia	38	18	7	13	52:39	61
7	Mercadal	38	17	10	11	49:42	61
8	Binissalem	38	16	11	11	49:38	59
9	CD Montuiri	38	15	12	11	49:49	57
10	Collerense	38	16	7	15	52:51	55
11	El Espinar Sant Rafel	38	13	14	11	43:37	53
12	Ferriolense	38	11	12	15	36:42	45
13	Campos	38	10	14	14	47:59	44
14	Penya Ciutadella Esportiva	38	11	10	17	46:61	43
15	Esporles	38	11	7	20	35:56	40
16	Rotlet Molinar	38	9	11	18	42:70	38
17	Santa Catalina Atletico	38	9	10	19	33:52	37
18	Platges de Calvia	38	7	14	17	28:55	35
19	Soller	38	5	9	24	32:81	24
20	UD Alaro	38	4	10	24	18:55	22