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Alcudia vs Portmany

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Ribas M.
90' Event
Ripoll M.

AI Match Summary

Alcudia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcudia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Alcudia
20%
Draws
36%
Portmany
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alcudia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Alcudia have won more games recently than Portmany.
  • Model gives Alcudia a 44% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Alcudia Clean Sheet 68%
Portmany Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcudia Portmany
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.39 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Alcudia
3:1
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Portmany
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Portmany
2:4
Nov 30, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Alcudia
2:2
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Portmany
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcudia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ripoll M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Portmany Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcudia 95 / 100
Portmany 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcudia Portmany

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcudia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Portmany conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Alcudia found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: Alcudia remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alcudia VS Portmany
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcudia

(Home)
26 Sept
Constancia
2 : 0
Alcudia
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0
Inter Ibiza
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
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Portmany

(Away)
10 May
Portmany
0 : 1
Rotlet Molinar
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
26 Apr
Portmany
1 : 1
Santanyi
18 Apr
CD Son Cladera
1 : 1
Portmany
11 Apr
Portmany
3 : 1
Alcudia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)