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Alcudia vs Rotlet Molinar

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Fresneda A.
49' Event
Ripoll M.
90' Event
Segovia A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Alcudia and Rotlet Molinar finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rotlet Molinar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Alcudia
20%
Draws
23%
Rotlet Molinar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alcudia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Alcudia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Alcudia a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Alcudia Clean Sheet 16%
Rotlet Molinar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcudia Rotlet Molinar
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.45 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.66 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Rotlet Molinar
1:2
Nov 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Rotlet Molinar vs Alcudia
0:1
Apr 1, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Rotlet Molinar vs Alcudia
2:3
Nov 6, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Rotlet Molinar
1:0
Mar 19, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Rotlet Molinar vs Alcudia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcudia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ripoll M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Rotlet Molinar Compare

Top Goalscorer Fresneda A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Segovia A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcudia 84 / 100
Rotlet Molinar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcudia Rotlet Molinar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcudia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rotlet Molinar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Alcudia scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Alcudia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alcudia VS Rotlet Molinar
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcudia

(Home)
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0
Inter Ibiza
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1
Binissalem
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2
Alcudia
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Rotlet Molinar

(Away)
10 May
Portmany
0 : 1
Rotlet Molinar
03 May
Rotlet Molinar
1 : 3
Constancia
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5
Collerense
18 Apr
Santanyi
2 : 2
Rotlet Molinar
11 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
0 : 2
CD Son Cladera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)