Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Chapman H.
Assist: Chadwick B.
16'
16'
Sub
Ghandour H. In: Peart B.
Out: Ghandour H.
45'
45'
Boatswain A.
AI Match Summary
Gateshead in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gateshead.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
78%
15%
7%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aldershot
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
78%
/ Very High Confidence
- Aldershot have won more games recently than Gateshead.
- Aldershot are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Aldershot Clean Sheet 20%
Gateshead Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aldershot | Gateshead |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 27 |
| Wins | 18 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 1.44 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 National League
Aldershot vs Gateshead
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 National League
Gateshead vs Aldershot
3:3
Mar 8, 2025 National League
Aldershot vs Gateshead
3:1
Nov 16, 2024 National League
Gateshead vs Aldershot
2:2
Apr 17, 2024 National League
Gateshead vs Aldershot
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aldershot Compare
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Gateshead Compare
Top Goalscorer Chapman H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aldershot 85 / 100
Gateshead 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aldershot Gateshead
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aldershot Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Aldershot scored in 77% of their last 35 games.
Gateshead let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.
Recent resilience: Aldershot stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Aldershot VS Gateshead
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Aldershot
(Home) 08 Aug
Boston United
0 : 1 Aldershot
01 Aug
Braintree
1 : 2 Aldershot
25 Jul
Hanwell Town
0 : 2 Aldershot
21 Jul
Aldershot
1 : 3 Oxford Utd
18 Jul
Aldershot
2 : 1 Farnborough
Page 1 of 7
21 Jul
Aldershot
1 : 3 Oxford Utd
18 Jul
Aldershot
2 : 1 Farnborough
15 Jul
Aldershot
2 : 0 Portsmouth
25 Apr
Aldershot
0 : 2 Truro
14 Apr
Aldershot
0 : 2 Southend
Page 1 of 3
Gateshead
(Away) 08 Aug
Eastleigh
2 : 1 Gateshead
05 Aug
Consett
6 : 1 Gateshead
01 Aug
Spennymoor
2 : 1 Gateshead
28 Jul
Gateshead
1 : 4 South Shields
25 Jul
Gateshead
1 : 1 Newcastle Utd
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Eastleigh
2 : 1 Gateshead
05 Aug
Consett
6 : 1 Gateshead
01 Aug
Spennymoor
2 : 1 Gateshead
14 Jul
Hebburn Town
3 : 3 Gateshead
11 Jul
Heaton Stannington
1 : 1 Gateshead
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | York City | 46 | 33 | 9 | 4 | 114:41 | 108 |
| 2 | Rochdale | 46 | 33 | 7 | 6 | 88:41 | 106 |
| 3 | Carlisle | 46 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 87:51 | 95 |
| 4 | Boreham Wood | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 95:58 | 90 |
| 5 | Scunthorpe | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 77:62 | 82 |
| 6 | Southend | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 83:47 | 81 |
| 7 | Forest Green | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 82:52 | 81 |
| 8 | Halifax | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 69:66 | 70 |
| 9 | Hartlepool | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 54:59 | 68 |
| 10 | Woking | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 69:54 | 63 |
| 11 | Tamworth | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 63:71 | 62 |
| 12 | Boston United | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 63:67 | 59 |
| 13 | Altrincham | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 55:65 | 57 |
| 14 | Solihull Moors | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 71:72 | 56 |
| 15 | Wealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 67:74 | 56 |
| 16 | Yeovil | 46 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 48:68 | 51 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 57:80 | 50 |
| 18 | Gateshead | 46 | 14 | 8 | 24 | 54:90 | 50 |
| 19 | Sutton | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 59:79 | 47 |
| 20 | Aldershot | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 69:87 | 46 |
| 21 | Brackley | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 40:75 | 42 |
| 22 | Morecambe | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 66:103 | 38 |
| 23 | Braintree | 46 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 38:76 | 36 |
| 24 | Truro | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 42:72 | 34 |
Promotion - League Two (Main)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
