Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aldershot vs Sutton

England England

National League 2025/2026 EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground, Aldershot
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Topalloj B.
5' Event
Stewart C.
Assist: Sheckleford R.
15'
Eccleston J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Aldershot
33%
Draws
27%
Sutton
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Aldershot

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aldershot lately — more wins on the board than Sutton.
  • Aldershot are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Aldershot Clean Sheet 20%
Sutton Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aldershot Sutton
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 National League
Aldershot vs Sutton
2:2
Dec 26, 2025 National League
Sutton vs Aldershot
0:0
Apr 18, 2025 National League
Aldershot vs Sutton
1:1
Jan 1, 2025 National League
Sutton vs Aldershot
1:1
Jul 29, 2023 Club Friendly
Sutton vs Aldershot
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aldershot Compare

Top Goalscorer Stewart C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sutton Compare

Top Goalscorer Simper L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aldershot 40 / 100
Sutton 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aldershot Sutton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aldershot found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Sutton has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Aldershot went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aldershot VS Sutton
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aldershot

(Home)
25 Jul
Hanwell Town
0 : 2
Aldershot
21 Jul
Aldershot
1 : 3
Oxford Utd
18 Jul
Aldershot
2 : 1
Farnborough
15 Jul
Aldershot
2 : 0
Portsmouth
11 Jul
Fleet Town
0 : 2
Aldershot
Page 1 of 6

Sutton

(Away)
28 Jul
Sutton
2 : 1
Folkestone
25 Jul
Sutton
2 : 0
Horsham FC
21 Jul
Sutton
1 : 1
Walton & Hersham
18 Jul
Sutton
1 : 2
AFC Wimbledon
14 Jul
Tonbridge
0 : 2
Sutton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1York City463394114:41108
2Rochdale46337688:41106
3Carlisle46298987:5195
4Boreham Wood462791095:5890
5Scunthorpe4623131077:6282
6Southend4623121183:4781
7Forest Green4623121182:5281
8Halifax4620101669:6670
9Hartlepool4618141454:5968
10Woking4616151569:5463
11Tamworth4617111863:7162
12Boston United4615141763:6759
13Altrincham461762355:6557
14Solihull Moors4614141871:7256
15Wealdstone4615112067:7456
16Yeovil461562548:6851
17Eastleigh4613112257:8050
18Gateshead461482454:9050
19Sutton4611142159:7947
20Aldershot461372669:8746
21Brackley4610122440:7542
22Morecambe469112666:10338
23Braintree468122638:7636
24Truro468102842:7234
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Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)