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Aldier vs Ilbirs

Kyrgyzstan Kyrgyzstan

Premier Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Maslovskiy V.
36' Event
Kodirov S.
74' Event
Tanimowo O.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Liga game between Aldier and Ilbirs finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aldier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Aldier
6%
Draws
4%
Ilbirs
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aldier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aldier come out ahead of Ilbirs on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Aldier's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Aldier have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Aldier Clean Sheet 19%
Ilbirs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aldier Ilbirs
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 5
Draws 9 11
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Premier Liga
Aldier vs Ilbirs
5:1
Aug 1, 2025 Premier Liga
Ilbirs vs Aldier
1:3
Jun 25, 2025 Premier Liga
Aldier vs Ilbirs
4:1
Nov 27, 2024 Premier Liga
Aldier vs Ilbirs
3:2
May 28, 2024 Premier Liga
Ilbirs vs Aldier
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aldier Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanimowo O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Maslovskiy V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ilbirs Compare

Top Goalscorer Levkovets A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aldier 85 / 100
Ilbirs 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aldier Ilbirs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aldier scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Ilbirs let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Aldier has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aldier VS Ilbirs
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aldier

(Home)
07 Jul
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
0 : 2
Aldier
01 Jul
Aldier
5 : 1
Ilbirs
22 Jun
Alay Osh
0 : 2
Aldier
13 Jun
Aldier
1 : 4
Ozgon
26 May
Aldier
1 : 2
Toktogul
Page 1 of 6

Ilbirs

(Away)
10 Jul
Ilbirs
0 : 1
Ozgon
06 Jul
Bars
4 : 1
Ilbirs
01 Jul
Aldier
5 : 1
Ilbirs
20 Jun
Ilbirs
0 : 0
Talant
13 Jun
Dordoi Bishkek
1 : 1
Ilbirs
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Muras United15113135:1436
2Alga Bishkek15105031:1335
3Bars15102343:2232
4Ozgon15102327:1432
5Asia Talas15102337:2632
6Alay Osh1574417:1525
7Aldier1565423:2123
8Dordoi Bishkek1553719:2118
9Talant1537515:1616
10Bishkek City1544715:2216
11Asiagoal Bishkek1535717:2614
12Neftchi Kochkor-Ata1542915:2514
13Ilbirs1527615:2613
14Toktogul15411013:2413
15Abdysh-Ata Kant15221112:278
16Kyrgyzaltyn15041112:344
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)