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Aldier vs Muras United

Kyrgyzstan Kyrgyzstan

Premier Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Toktonaliev N.
6' Event
Mamatkasymov D.
35' Event
Toktonaliev N.

AI Match Summary

Aldier in this Premier Liga matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aldier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Aldier
30%
Draws
41%
Muras United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Muras United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Muras United lately — more wins on the board than Aldier.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Muras United taking it.
  • Regular Premier Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Aldier Clean Sheet 11%
Muras United Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aldier Muras United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.41 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 Premier Liga
Aldier vs Muras United
3:2
Mar 30, 2026 Premier Liga
Muras United vs Aldier
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 Premier Liga
Aldier vs Muras United
1:0
Jun 22, 2025 Premier Liga
Muras United vs Aldier
3:1
Nov 3, 2024 Premier Liga
Aldier vs Muras United
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aldier Compare

Top Goalscorer Mamatkasymov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Foziljonov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Muras United Compare

Top Goalscorer Toktonaliev N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aldier 18 / 100
Muras United 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aldier Muras United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muras United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aldier found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Aldier stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Muras United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aldier VS Muras United
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aldier

(Home)
07 Sept
Dordoi Bishkek
2 : 2
Aldier
01 Sept
Aldier
3 : 2
Muras United
24 Aug
Toktogul
2 : 1
Aldier
19 Aug
Aldier
1 : 1
Abdysh-Ata Kant
14 Aug
Ozgon
3 : 2
Aldier
Page 1 of 6

Muras United

(Away)
10 Sept
Alay Osh
0 : 1
Muras United
01 Sept
Aldier
3 : 2
Muras United
23 Aug
Muras United
6 : 0
Kyrgyzaltyn
19 Aug
Muras United
1 : 1
Ilbirs
11 Aug
Fortis
1 : 0
Muras United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bars 22 14 4 4 63:31 46
2 Muras United 22 13 7 2 47:20 46
3 Alga Bishkek 23 13 7 3 41:23 46
4 Ozgon 22 14 2 6 48:27 44
5 Asia Talas 23 12 7 4 52:36 43
6 Alay Osh 23 12 5 6 31:27 41
7 Talant 24 7 9 8 29:25 30
8 Dordoi Bishkek 23 8 5 10 36:32 29
9 Neftchi Kochkor-Ata 23 9 2 12 31:39 29
10 Ilbirs 23 6 10 7 29:34 28
11 Aldier 23 7 7 9 34:41 28
12 Toktogul 23 8 4 11 26:35 28
13 Bishkek City 23 5 9 9 22:31 24
14 Asiagoal Bishkek 24 4 9 11 27:40 21
15 Abdysh-Ata Kant 23 2 5 16 18:49 11
16 Kyrgyzaltyn 24 1 6 17 19:63 9
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)