Sport Picks
Aldier vs Neftchi Kochkor-Ata Prediction & H2H Stats
Kyrgyzstan
Premier Liga 
Match Events
29'
29'
Sodikov S.
37'
37'
Ergemlidze M.
(Penalty)
62'
62'
Koshibkhonov A.
AI Match Summary
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata in this Premier Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Neftchi Kochkor-Ata.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Neftchi Kochkor-Ata lately — more wins on the board than Aldier.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Premier Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Aldier Clean Sheet 20%
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aldier | Neftchi Kochkor-Ata |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 24, 2026 Premier Liga
Aldier vs Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
1:3
Jul 7, 2026 Premier Liga
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata vs Aldier
0:2
Oct 12, 2025 Premier Liga
Aldier vs Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
1:0
Mar 12, 2025 Premier Liga
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata vs Aldier
4:1
Oct 11, 2024 Premier Liga
Aldier vs Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aldier Compare
Top Goalscorer Sodikov S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata Compare
Top Goalscorer Koshibkhonov A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cobet A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aldier 36 / 100
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aldier Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Neftchi Kochkor-Ata Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aldier scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Aldier has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Aldier VS Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Aldier
(Home) 18 Sept
Bars
2 : 1 Aldier
07 Sept
Dordoi Bishkek
2 : 2 Aldier
01 Sept
Aldier
3 : 2 Muras United
24 Aug
Toktogul
2 : 1 Aldier
19 Aug
Aldier
1 : 1 Abdysh-Ata Kant
Page 1 of 6
01 Sept
Aldier
3 : 2 Muras United
19 Aug
Aldier
1 : 1 Abdysh-Ata Kant
08 Aug
Aldier
1 : 3 Alay Osh
24 Jul
Aldier
1 : 3 Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
01 Jul
Aldier
5 : 1 Ilbirs
Page 1 of 3
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
(Away) 19 Sept
Asia Talas
3 : 2 Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
11 Sept
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
3 : 1 Asiagoal Bishkek
05 Sept
Bishkek City
1 : 0 Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
01 Sept
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
3 : 1 Alga Bishkek
23 Aug
Bars
4 : 0 Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Asia Talas
3 : 2 Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
05 Sept
Bishkek City
1 : 0 Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
23 Aug
Bars
4 : 0 Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
07 Aug
Dordoi Bishkek
5 : 1 Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
24 Jul
Aldier
1 : 3 Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bars | 23 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 65:32 | 49 |
| 2 | Muras United | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 47:20 | 46 |
| 3 | Alga Bishkek | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 41:23 | 46 |
| 4 | Asia Talas | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 55:38 | 46 |
| 5 | Ozgon | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 48:27 | 44 |
| 6 | Alay Osh | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 33:31 | 41 |
| 7 | Talant | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 29:25 | 30 |
| 8 | Dordoi Bishkek | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 36:32 | 29 |
| 9 | Neftchi Kochkor-Ata | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 33:42 | 29 |
| 10 | Ilbirs | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 29:34 | 28 |
| 11 | Aldier | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 35:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Toktogul | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 26:35 | 28 |
| 13 | Bishkek City | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 26:33 | 27 |
| 14 | Asiagoal Bishkek | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 27:40 | 21 |
| 15 | Abdysh-Ata Kant | 23 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 18:49 | 11 |
| 16 | Kyrgyzaltyn | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 19:63 | 9 |
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
