Sport Picks

Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio José María Minella

Rosario Central

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aldosivi play Rosario Central in the Liga Profesional. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aldosivi averaged 0.72 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Rosario Central averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. In past meetings, Aldosivi won 3, Rosario Central won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 7, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.74 for Aldosivi and 1.35 for Rosario Central. This points to a Rosario Central double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Aldosivi

24%

Draws

46%

Rosario Central

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Rosario Central

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Aldosivi picked up more points recently compared to Rosario Central.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.74 vs 1.35 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 31%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

Aldosivi Clean Sheet 18%

Rosario Central Clean Sheet 19%

First Half Goal 57%

Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aldosivi	Rosario Central
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	6	15
Draws	9	6
Losses	14	9
Goals Scored	0.72	1.2
Goals Conceded	1.1	0.83
Expected Goals (xG)	0.60	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.20	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Liga Profesional

Aldosivi vs Rosario Central

Possession: 46% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Jul 4, 2022 Liga Profesional

Aldosivi vs Rosario Central

Possession: 48% - 52% Cards: 4 - 3

2:1

Apr 15, 2022 Copa de la Liga Profesional

Aldosivi vs Rosario Central

Possession: 47% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Aug 2, 2021 Liga Profesional

Rosario Central vs Aldosivi

Possession: 42% - 40% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Apr 16, 2021 Copa de la Liga Profesional

Aldosivi vs Rosario Central

Possession: 44% - 51% Cards: 0 - 3

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aldosivi Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordero N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.46

Avg xA / game 0.3

Rosario Central Compare

Top Goalscorer Ovando I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aldosivi 31 / 100

Rosario Central 45 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aldosivi Rosario Central

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rosario Central or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +24%

4.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aldosivi attacking → ← attacking Rosario Central

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aldosivi scored in 41% of their last 29 games.

Rosario Central let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Aldosivi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rosario Central lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 51

0.60 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.20 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	9	4	3	19:7	31
2	Boca Juniors	16	8	6	2	22:9	30
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	18:12	28
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	7	5	4	17:13	26
5	Independiente	16	6	6	4	24:20	24
6	Lanus	16	6	6	4	18:15	24
7	San Lorenzo	16	5	7	4	14:14	22
8	Union de Santa Fe	16	5	6	5	24:20	21
9	Instituto	16	6	3	7	17:17	21
10	Defensa y Justicia	16	4	7	5	18:21	19
11	Gimnasia Mendoza	16	5	4	7	14:22	19
12	Platense	16	3	7	6	10:15	16
13	Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)	16	4	4	8	11:21	16
14	Newells Old Boys	16	3	6	7	15:27	15
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	1	8	7	5:12	11

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ind. Rivadavia	16	10	4	2	29:15	34
2	River Plate	16	9	2	5	22:12	29
3	Argentinos Jrs	16	8	5	3	17:13	29
4	Rosario Central	16	8	4	4	20:16	28
5	CA Belgrano de Cordoba	16	7	5	4	17:13	26
6	Gimnasia L.P.	16	8	2	6	19:19	26
7	Huracan	16	5	7	4	17:13	22
8	Racing Club	16	5	6	5	17:15	21
9	Barracas Central	16	5	6	5	15:15	21
10	Tigre	16	4	8	4	18:15	20
11	Sarmiento Junin	16	6	1	9	13:20	19
12	Banfield	16	5	3	8	17:19	18
13	Atl. Tucuman	16	3	5	8	15:20	14
14	Aldosivi	16	0	8	8	6:19	8
15	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	16	1	2	13	5:24	5