Sport Picks
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Jaiba Brava Prediction & H2H Stats
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Tecnológico de Oaxaca, Oaxaca de Juárez 
Match Events
2'
2'
Garcia D.
37'
37'
Razo L.
Assist: Saldivar J.
44'
44'
Saldivar J.
AI Match Summary
Jaiba Brava in this Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jaiba Brava.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca haven't matched Jaiba Brava's recent run of results.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Jaiba Brava have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Clean Sheet 17%
Jaiba Brava Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | Jaiba Brava |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Jaiba Brava vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Jaiba Brava
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Jaiba Brava vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3:1
Mar 9, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Jaiba Brava vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3:0
Sep 22, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Jaiba Brava
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Compare
Top Goalscorer Esqueda Romero J. A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Jaiba Brava Compare
Top Goalscorer Garcia D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Razo L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 36 / 100
Jaiba Brava 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Jaiba Brava
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jaiba Brava Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alebrijes de Oaxaca scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Jaiba Brava has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Jaiba Brava's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Alebrijes de Oaxaca VS Jaiba Brava
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
(Home) 25 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 3 Atletico La Paz
20 Sept
Cancun
3 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
11 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
06 Sept
Club Atletico Morelia
4 : 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
28 Aug
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 1 Tapatio
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 3 Atletico La Paz
11 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
28 Aug
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 1 Tapatio
14 Aug
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
31 Jul
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
0 : 2 Dorados de Sinaloa
Page 1 of 3
Jaiba Brava
(Away) 26 Sept
Correcaminos
1 : 0 Jaiba Brava
20 Sept
Jaiba Brava
1 : 1 Dorados de Sinaloa
12 Sept
Tlaxcala
3 : 1 Jaiba Brava
06 Sept
Jaiba Brava
4 : 3 Venados FC
30 Aug
Zacatecas Mineros
2 : 0 Jaiba Brava
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Correcaminos
1 : 0 Jaiba Brava
12 Sept
Tlaxcala
3 : 1 Jaiba Brava
30 Aug
Zacatecas Mineros
2 : 0 Jaiba Brava
16 Aug
Leones Negros
4 : 0 Jaiba Brava
01 Aug
Tapatio
1 : 0 Jaiba Brava
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Cancun | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18:12 | 23 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Jaiba Brava | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | 21 |
| 7 | Tapatio | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 28:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Atlante | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 9 | Irapuato | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 27:24 | 20 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | 20 |
| 11 | Venados FC | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 16 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 20:29 | 16 |
| 13 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:27 | 12 |
| 15 | Leones Negros | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:25 | 11 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
