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Alecrim vs Univap - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Potiguar 2 2024
Alecrim Logo

Alecrim

2 - 3
FT
Univap Logo

Univap

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Nunes H.
57' Event
Edson Kapa
(Penalty)
65' Event
Victor
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Potiguar 2 2024 game between Alecrim and Univap finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Univap.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Alecrim
15%
Draws
0%
Univap
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alecrim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alecrim come out ahead of Univap on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Alecrim's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Alecrim have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Alecrim Clean Sheet 20%
Univap Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alecrim Univap
Matches Played 29 16
Wins 8 3
Draws 6 2
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.24 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 Potiguar 2
Univap vs Alecrim
0:3
Oct 26, 2024 Potiguar 2
Univap vs Alecrim
0:1
Sep 21, 2024 Potiguar 2
Alecrim vs Univap
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alecrim Compare

Top Goalscorer Victor
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Oliveira P. C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Univap Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunes H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santos A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alecrim 85 / 100
Univap 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alecrim Univap

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alecrim Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Univap's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 16 matches.

Univap lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Alecrim scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Alecrim VS Univap
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alecrim

(Home)
29 Oct
Alecrim
0 : 2
Baraunas
25 Oct
Univap
0 : 3
Alecrim
19 Oct
Alecrim
0 : 2
QFC
16 Oct
Mossoro
2 : 1
Alecrim
12 Oct
Alecrim
2 : 1
Visao Celeste
Page 1 of 6

Univap

(Away)
02 Nov
Univap
0 : 3
Visao Celeste
29 Oct
Potyguar Seridoense
3 : 0
Univap
25 Oct
Univap
0 : 3
Alecrim
18 Oct
Baraunas
3 : 0
Univap
11 Oct
Univap
0 : 3
QFC
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laguna RN 10 6 1 3 15:9 19
2 Alecrim 10 6 1 3 22:9 19
3 QFC 10 5 4 1 17:4 19
4 Rio Grande RN 10 5 2 3 19:6 17
5 Univap 10 3 2 5 11:12 11
6 Parnamirim 10 0 0 10 0:44 0
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