Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alemdag vs Manisaspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Palaz O.
6' Event
Calisan S. E.
54' Event
Gokaltin S.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 game between Alemdag and Manisaspor finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alemdag.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Alemdag
11%
Draws
9%
Manisaspor
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Alemdag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Manisaspor haven't matched Alemdag's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Alemdag taking it.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Alemdag Clean Sheet 68%
Manisaspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alemdag Manisaspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 1
Draws 4 9
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2021 3. Lig Group 1
Alemdag vs Manisaspor
2:1
Oct 29, 2020 3. Lig Group 1
Manisaspor vs Alemdag
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alemdag Compare

Top Goalscorer Calisan S. E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gokaltin S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Manisaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Palaz O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alemdag 86 / 100
Manisaspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alemdag Manisaspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manisaspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Manisaspor lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Alemdag found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Alemdag VS Manisaspor
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)30208243:1868
2Bucaspor 192830207358:1867
3Malatya30175850:2756
4Ofspor301411543:3153
5Arnavutkoy Bl.30139840:2948
6Edirnespor Genclik30129934:3145
7Guzide Gebzespor301110941:2943
8Hopaspor301091141:4439
9Fatsa Bld.301081222:3138
10Kizilcabolukspor309101134:3337
11Nevsehir30971431:3134
12Cankaya FK301041628:4834
13Alemdag30961537:4833
14Kemerspor 200330761727:5027
15Payasspor30581729:5623
16Manisaspor30192022:5612