Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alemdag vs Ofspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Cicek B.
(Penalty)
58' Event
Gulen A.
73' Event
Demir Y.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 game between Alemdag and Ofspor finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ofspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Alemdag
20%
Draws
40%
Ofspor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Ofspor haven't matched Alemdag's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Alemdag Clean Sheet 20%
Ofspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alemdag Ofspor
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 6
Draws 4 8
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.2 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2021 3. Lig Group 1
Alemdag vs Ofspor
1:2
Sep 26, 2020 3. Lig Group 1
Ofspor vs Alemdag
1:1
Jan 19, 2020 3. Lig Group 2
Ofspor vs Alemdag
3:1
Sep 7, 2019 3. Lig Group 2
Alemdag vs Ofspor
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alemdag Compare

Top Goalscorer Demir Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Ofspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Gulen A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alemdag 32 / 100
Ofspor 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alemdag Ofspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alemdag found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Ofspor let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Ofspor lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ofspor
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alemdag

(Home)
01 May
Alemdag
0 : 0
Edirnespor Genclik
25 Apr
Fatsa Bld.
0 : 2
Alemdag
21 Apr
Alemdag
1 : 2
Cankaya FK
14 Apr
Malatya
3 : 1
Alemdag
08 Apr
Alemdag
1 : 2
Kizilcabolukspor
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Ofspor

(Away)
20 May
Ofspor
0 : 1
Igdir FK
07 May
Karaman FK
3 : 1
Ofspor
30 Apr
Ofspor
1 : 1
Bayrampasa
23 Apr
Gumushanespor
0 : 2
Ofspor
16 Apr
Ofspor
1 : 2
Kusadasispor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 30 20 8 2 43:18 68
2 Bucaspor 1928 30 20 7 3 58:18 67
3 Malatya 30 17 5 8 50:27 56
4 Ofspor 30 14 11 5 43:31 53
5 Arnavutkoy Bl. 30 13 9 8 40:29 48
6 Edirnespor Genclik 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Guzide Gebzespor 30 11 10 9 41:29 43
8 Hopaspor 30 10 9 11 41:44 39
9 Fatsa Bld. 30 10 8 12 22:31 38
10 Kizilcabolukspor 30 9 10 11 34:33 37
11 Nevsehir 30 9 7 14 31:31 34
12 Cankaya FK 30 10 4 16 28:48 34
13 Alemdag 30 9 6 15 37:48 33
14 Kemerspor 2003 30 7 6 17 27:50 27
15 Payasspor 30 5 8 17 29:56 23
16 Manisaspor 30 1 9 20 22:56 12
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 (Play Offs)