Sport Picks
Ales vs Frejus Saint Raphael
France
National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 
Match Events
51'
51'
Baana W.
75'
75'
Maamar I.
75'
75'
Maamar I.
AI Match Summary
Ales in this National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ales.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ales
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Ales at 1.28 per game, Frejus Saint Raphael at 1.24.
- Win probability leans Ales's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ales Clean Sheet 20%
Frejus Saint Raphael Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ales | Frejus Saint Raphael |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 38 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 20, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Ales vs Frejus Saint Raphael
1:0
Dec 2, 2023 National 1 - Group A
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Ales
0:0
May 20, 2023 National 1 - Group C
Ales vs Frejus Saint Raphael
2:2
Jan 28, 2023 National 1 - Group C
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Ales
0:0
Dec 7, 2019 Coupe de France
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Ales
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ales Compare
Top Goalscorer Baana W.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Frejus Saint Raphael Compare
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ales 49 / 100
Frejus Saint Raphael 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ales Frejus Saint Raphael
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ales Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ales scored in 66% of their last 32 games.
Frejus Saint Raphael let in goals in 79% of their last 38 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Ales went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Frejus Saint Raphael
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ales
(Home) 30 Nov
Ales
1 : 5 Cannes
16 Nov
Ales
4 : 2 Beaucairois
18 May
Bourgoin Jallieu
0 : 0 Ales
11 May
Ales
2 : 1 Toulouse II
27 Apr
Chamalieres
0 : 2 Ales
Page 1 of 7
30 Nov
Ales
1 : 5 Cannes
16 Nov
Ales
4 : 2 Beaucairois
11 May
Ales
2 : 1 Toulouse II
20 Apr
Ales
1 : 0 Frejus Saint Raphael
30 Mar
Ales
0 : 3 Hyeres
Page 1 of 4
Frejus Saint Raphael
(Away) 19 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 4 GOAL FC
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1 Frejus Saint Raphael
05 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 0 Andrezieux
29 Aug
Nimes
3 : 0 Frejus Saint Raphael
22 Aug
Frejus Saint Raphael
3 : 0 Saint Priest
Page 1 of 8
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1 Frejus Saint Raphael
29 Aug
Nimes
3 : 0 Frejus Saint Raphael
09 May
FC Bobigny 93
1 : 0 Frejus Saint Raphael
18 Apr
Rumilly Vallieres
1 : 3 Frejus Saint Raphael
03 Apr
Istres
4 : 0 Frejus Saint Raphael
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aubagne FC | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 33:17 | 52 |
| 2 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 39:24 | 46 |
| 3 | RC Grasse | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 31:21 | 42 |
| 4 | Jura Sud | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 34:23 | 41 |
| 5 | Cannes | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 41:21 | 40 |
| 6 | Hyeres | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 37:22 | 37 |
| 7 | Frejus Saint Raphael | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 25:19 | 36 |
| 8 | Toulon | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 30:29 | 35 |
| 9 | Andrezieux | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 26:28 | 34 |
| 10 | Ales | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 23:39 | 29 |
| 11 | Thonon-Evian | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 27:35 | 28 |
| 12 | Chamalieres | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 26:40 | 26 |
| 13 | Bourgoin Jallieu | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 24:43 | 21 |
| 14 | Toulouse II | 26 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 24:59 | 11 |
Promotion - National 2024/2025 (Main)
