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Stadium Background

Ales vs Hyeres

France France

National 2 - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Benbachir S.
50' Event
Benbachir S.
88' Event
Ebrard A.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 game between Ales and Hyeres finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hyeres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Ales
20%
Draws
45%
Hyeres
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hyeres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Hyeres carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Hyeres taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Ales Clean Sheet 19%
Hyeres Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ales Hyeres
Matches Played 32 41
Wins 11 19
Draws 8 13
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.28 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Ales vs Hyeres
0:3
Oct 7, 2023 National 1 - Group A
Hyeres vs Ales
1:2
Mar 11, 2023 National 1 - Group C
Ales vs Hyeres
1:1
Sep 17, 2022 National 1 - Group C
Hyeres vs Ales
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ales Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Hyeres Compare

Top Goalscorer Benbachir S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ebrard A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ales 16 / 100
Hyeres 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ales Hyeres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hyeres Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ales scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ales remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Hyeres conceded in 59% of 41 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hyeres
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ales

(Home)
30 Nov
Ales
1 : 5
Cannes
16 Nov
Ales
4 : 2
Beaucairois
18 May
Bourgoin Jallieu
0 : 0
Ales
11 May
Ales
2 : 1
Toulouse II
27 Apr
Chamalieres
0 : 2
Ales
Page 1 of 7

Hyeres

(Away)
12 Sept
Rumilly Vallieres
0 : 3
Hyeres
05 Sept
Hyeres
3 : 0
Istres
28 Aug
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Hyeres
21 Aug
Hyeres
2 : 2
Limonest
16 May
Hyeres
4 : 1
Saint Priest
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aubagne FC 26 14 10 2 33:17 52
2 Le Puy-en-Velay 26 12 10 4 39:24 46
3 RC Grasse 26 10 12 4 31:21 42
4 Jura Sud 26 10 11 5 34:23 41
5 Cannes 26 9 13 4 41:21 40
6 Hyeres 26 9 10 7 37:22 37
7 Frejus Saint Raphael 26 8 12 6 25:19 36
8 Toulon 26 9 8 9 30:29 35
9 Andrezieux 26 9 7 10 26:28 34
10 Ales 26 7 8 11 23:39 29
11 Thonon-Evian 26 7 7 12 27:35 28
12 Chamalieres 26 5 11 10 26:40 26
13 Bourgoin Jallieu 26 4 9 13 24:43 21
14 Toulouse II 26 1 8 17 24:59 11
Promotion - National 2024/2025 (Main)