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Alessandria U19 vs Crotone U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Burruano A.
70' Event
Jarre A.
90' Event
Guzman F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Alessandria U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Alessandria U19
15%
Draws
12%
Crotone U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alessandria U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alessandria U19 come out ahead of Crotone U19 on wins alone.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Alessandria U19 taking it.
  • Alessandria U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Alessandria U19, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Alessandria U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Crotone U19 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alessandria U19 Crotone U19
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 2
Draws 5 10
Losses 19 20
Goals Scored 1.03 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.33 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2024 Primavera 2
Crotone U19 vs Alessandria U19
3:0
May 18, 2024 Primavera 2
Alessandria U19 vs Crotone U19
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alessandria U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Burruano A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jarre A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Crotone U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alessandria U19 40 / 100
Crotone U19 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alessandria U19 Crotone U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alessandria U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crotone U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Crotone U19 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Alessandria U19 found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Crotone U19
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alessandria U19

(Home)
25 May
Crotone U19
3 : 0
Alessandria U19
18 May
Alessandria U19
3 : 1
Crotone U19
11 May
Padova U19
1 : 0
Alessandria U19
04 May
Alessandria U19
0 : 10
Brescia U19
27 Apr
Renate U19
1 : 3
Alessandria U19
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Crotone U19

(Away)
09 May
Crotone U19
2 : 2
Catanzaro U19
02 May
Cosenza U19
2 : 0
Crotone U19
25 Apr
Crotone U19
0 : 4
Bari U19
18 Apr
Palermo U19
7 : 1
Crotone U19
11 Apr
Crotone U19
2 : 3
Pescara U19
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Alessandria U19 3
Crotone U19 4