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Alesves vs Burlades

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Navarro M.
72' Event
Gorostiza I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Alesves
15%
Draws
85%
Burlades
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burlades

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Burlades have won more games recently than Alesves.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Burlades taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Alesves Clean Sheet 19%
Burlades Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alesves Burlades
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 0.77 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Alesves vs Burlades
1:1
Sep 30, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Burlades vs Alesves
3:2
Jan 7, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Burlades vs Alesves
0:1
Sep 11, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Alesves vs Burlades
1:2
Mar 23, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Burlades vs Alesves
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alesves Compare

Top Goalscorer Navarro M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Burlades Compare

Top Goalscorer Gorostiza I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alesves 20 / 100
Burlades 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alesves Burlades

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burlades Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Burlades conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Away concern: Burlades has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Alesves scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Burlades
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alesves

(Home)
11 May
Beti Kozkor
2 : 1
Alesves
04 May
Alesves
1 : 3
Lerines
01 May
Cirbonero
4 : 1
Alesves
26 Apr
Alesves
0 : 1
Cortes
21 Apr
CD Cantolagua
1 : 0
Alesves
Page 1 of 6

Burlades

(Away)
10 May
Burlades
3 : 1
Cirbonero
03 May
Cortes
5 : 1
Burlades
26 Apr
Burlades
0 : 3
Valle Egues
16 Apr
Txantrea
3 : 0
Burlades
12 Apr
Burlades
0 : 0
AD San Juan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Subiza 34 20 8 6 68:29 68
2 Cortes 34 17 12 5 40:23 63
3 CD Ardoi 34 18 8 8 49:23 62
4 Pena 34 14 15 5 53:39 57
5 Huarte 34 16 6 12 51:47 54
6 CD Cantolagua 34 15 9 10 55:45 54
7 CD Beti Onak 34 15 5 14 47:50 50
8 Cirbonero 34 12 8 14 46:49 44
9 Txantrea 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
10 Pamplona 34 10 12 12 45:45 42
11 Beti Kozkor 34 11 9 14 35:43 42
12 Bidezarra 34 9 15 10 42:38 42
13 Burlades 34 11 8 15 35:47 41
14 Oberena 34 11 7 16 43:49 40
15 Ezcabarte 34 10 10 14 42:51 40
16 Lagunak 34 8 10 16 35:52 34
17 Lerines 34 9 7 18 34:59 34
18 Alesves 34 7 6 21 34:63 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 (Play Offs)