Sport Picks
Match Events
36'
36'
Valerio A.
67'
67'
Valerio A.
68'
68'
Gurpegui U.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Ardoi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to CD Ardoi lately — more wins on the board than Alesves.
- CD Ardoi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors CD Ardoi here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Alesves Clean Sheet 19%
CD Ardoi Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alesves | CD Ardoi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 4 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 12 |
| Losses | 20 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Alesves vs CD Ardoi
2:2
Nov 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Ardoi vs Alesves
1:0
Mar 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Alesves vs CD Ardoi
0:2
Nov 16, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Ardoi vs Alesves
3:2
Apr 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Alesves vs CD Ardoi
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alesves Compare
Top Goalscorer Valerio A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8
CD Ardoi Compare
Top Goalscorer Gurpegui U.
1 Goals Assists Leader Acin Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alesves 10 / 100
CD Ardoi 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alesves CD Ardoi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Ardoi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
CD Ardoi has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.
Alesves scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Difficult form: CD Ardoi registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS CD Ardoi
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Alesves
(Home) 11 May
Beti Kozkor
2 : 1 Alesves
04 May
Alesves
1 : 3 Lerines
01 May
Cirbonero
4 : 1 Alesves
26 Apr
Alesves
0 : 1 Cortes
21 Apr
CD Cantolagua
1 : 0 Alesves
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Alesves
1 : 3 Lerines
26 Apr
Alesves
0 : 1 Cortes
14 Apr
Alesves
0 : 6 Bidezarra
28 Mar
Alesves
2 : 2 CD Ardoi
17 Mar
Alesves
2 : 3 Huarte
Page 1 of 3
CD Ardoi
(Away) 09 May
AD San Juan
3 : 1 CD Ardoi
03 May
CD Ardoi
2 : 2 CD Beti Onak
25 Apr
Ezcabarte
3 : 4 CD Ardoi
18 Apr
Aoiz
2 : 1 CD Ardoi
11 Apr
CD Ardoi
2 : 2 Beti Kozkor
Page 1 of 7
09 May
AD San Juan
3 : 1 CD Ardoi
25 Apr
Ezcabarte
3 : 4 CD Ardoi
18 Apr
Aoiz
2 : 1 CD Ardoi
01 Apr
Pena
2 : 0 CD Ardoi
19 Mar
Huarte
0 : 4 CD Ardoi
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Subiza | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 68:29 | 68 |
| 2 | Cortes | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 40:23 | 63 |
| 3 | CD Ardoi | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 49:23 | 62 |
| 4 | Pena | 34 | 14 | 15 | 5 | 53:39 | 57 |
| 5 | Huarte | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 51:47 | 54 |
| 6 | CD Cantolagua | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55:45 | 54 |
| 7 | CD Beti Onak | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 47:50 | 50 |
| 8 | Cirbonero | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 46:49 | 44 |
| 9 | Txantrea | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 34:36 | 42 |
| 10 | Pamplona | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45:45 | 42 |
| 11 | Beti Kozkor | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 35:43 | 42 |
| 12 | Bidezarra | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 42:38 | 42 |
| 13 | Burlades | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 35:47 | 41 |
| 14 | Oberena | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 43:49 | 40 |
| 15 | Ezcabarte | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:51 | 40 |
| 16 | Lagunak | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 35:52 | 34 |
| 17 | Lerines | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 34:59 | 34 |
| 18 | Alesves | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 34:63 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
