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Stadium Background

Alesves vs Cirbonero

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Muro A.
45' Event
Matoma M.
57' Event
Aguado A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 game between Alesves and Cirbonero finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cirbonero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Alesves
20%
Draws
80%
Cirbonero
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cirbonero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Cirbonero carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Cirbonero taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cirbonero here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Alesves Clean Sheet 20%
Cirbonero Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alesves Cirbonero
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.77 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs Alesves
4:1
Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Alesves vs Cirbonero
1:4
Jan 26, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Alesves vs Cirbonero
2:1
Sep 9, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs Alesves
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alesves Compare

Top Goalscorer Matoma M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Cirbonero Compare

Top Goalscorer Muro A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aguado A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alesves 10 / 100
Cirbonero 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alesves Cirbonero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cirbonero Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Cirbonero has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Alesves's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Cirbonero's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cirbonero
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alesves

(Home)
11 May
Beti Kozkor
2 : 1
Alesves
04 May
Alesves
1 : 3
Lerines
01 May
Cirbonero
4 : 1
Alesves
26 Apr
Alesves
0 : 1
Cortes
21 Apr
CD Cantolagua
1 : 0
Alesves
Page 1 of 6

Cirbonero

(Away)
27 Sept
Subiza
2 : 0
Cirbonero
20 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 0
CD Beti Onak
12 Sept
Txantrea
1 : 1
Cirbonero
05 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 4
Izarra
09 May
Cirbonero
2 : 0
Valle Egues
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Subiza 34 20 8 6 68:29 68
2 Cortes 34 17 12 5 40:23 63
3 CD Ardoi 34 18 8 8 49:23 62
4 Pena 34 14 15 5 53:39 57
5 Huarte 34 16 6 12 51:47 54
6 CD Cantolagua 34 15 9 10 55:45 54
7 CD Beti Onak 34 15 5 14 47:50 50
8 Cirbonero 34 12 8 14 46:49 44
9 Txantrea 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
10 Pamplona 34 10 12 12 45:45 42
11 Beti Kozkor 34 11 9 14 35:43 42
12 Bidezarra 34 9 15 10 42:38 42
13 Burlades 34 11 8 15 35:47 41
14 Oberena 34 11 7 16 43:49 40
15 Ezcabarte 34 10 10 14 42:51 40
16 Lagunak 34 8 10 16 35:52 34
17 Lerines 34 9 7 18 34:59 34
18 Alesves 34 7 6 21 34:63 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 (Play Offs)