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Alfalah Atbra vs Ahli Shendi

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alfalah Atbra play Ahli Shendi in the Premier League 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alfalah Atbra averaged 0.54 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. Ahli Shendi averaged 0.43 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Alfalah Atbra won 1, Ahli Shendi won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 19, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Alfalah Atbra and 0.44 for Ahli Shendi. This points to a Ahli Shendi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Alfalah Atbra
35%
Draws
33%
Ahli Shendi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ahli Shendi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Alfalah Atbra picked up more points recently compared to Ahli Shendi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 0.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 17%
Over 4.5 Goals 8%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25%
Alfalah Atbra Clean Sheet 31%
Ahli Shendi Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 41%
Second Half Goal 44%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfalah Atbra Ahli Shendi
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 5
Draws 10 8
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.54 0.43
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2025 Premier League
Ahli Shendi vs Alfalah Atbra
1:0
Jan 11, 2025 Premier League
Alfalah Atbra vs Ahli Shendi
1:0
Apr 6, 2023 Premier League
Ahli Shendi vs Alfalah Atbra
0:0
Nov 23, 2022 Premier League
Alfalah Atbra vs Ahli Shendi
0:0
Feb 29, 2020 Premier League
Ahli Shendi vs Alfalah Atbra
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfalah Atbra 35 / 100
Ahli Shendi 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfalah Atbra Ahli Shendi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ahli Shendi or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +27.4%
4.55
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alfalah Atbra attacking → ← attacking Ahli Shendi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alfalah Atbra scored in 43% of their last 28 games.

Ahli Shendi let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Alfalah Atbra went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Ahli Shendi lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 23
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Mergheni83419:613
2Hilal Alsahil82607:512
3Al Shorta82338:89
4Al Hilal Manaqil82338:79
5Hay al-Arab82248:148
6Wad Nobawi00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Merreikh Obeid1061318:1219
2Zamala Ruwaba1045116:1117
3Rabita Kosti103528:914
4Hilal El-Fasher1033414:1412
5Haidob Al Nuhod1033410:1312
6Merikh Nyala101369:166
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hay Al Wadi63306:312
2Umm Mughad61505:48
3Al-Ahly Merowe61322:36
4Kober61143:64
5Al Zoma00000:00
6Tuti00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Madani851211:616
2Alamal SC Atbara835011:714
3Ahli Khartoum82338:109
4Alfalah Atbra82337:99
5Ahli Shendi81252:75