Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alfalah Atbra vs Al Hilal Karima

Sudan Sudan

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alfalah Atbra play Al Hilal Karima in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alfalah Atbra averaged 0.56 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Al Hilal Karima averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Alfalah Atbra won 1, Al Hilal Karima won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 30, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Alfalah Atbra and 1.16 for Al Hilal Karima. This points to a Al Hilal Karima double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Alfalah Atbra
28%
Draws
45%
Al Hilal Karima
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Al Hilal Karima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Alfalah Atbra picked up more points recently compared to Al Hilal Karima.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.16 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Alfalah Atbra Clean Sheet 21%
Al Hilal Karima Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 53%
Second Half Goal 56%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfalah Atbra Al Hilal Karima
Matches Played 27 10
Wins 5 3
Draws 9 2
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 0.56 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Premier League
Al Hilal Karima vs Alfalah Atbra
2:1
Jan 11, 2026 Premier League
Alfalah Atbra vs Al Hilal Karima
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfalah Atbra 29 / 100
Al Hilal Karima 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfalah Atbra Al Hilal Karima

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Hilal Karima or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alfalah Atbra attacking → ← attacking Al Hilal Karima

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alfalah Atbra scored in 44% of their last 27 games.

Al Hilal Karima let in goals in 70% of their last 10 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Alfalah Atbra went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Al Hilal Karima lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 11
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.43
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.71

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman II1064017:522
2Hilal Alsahil1054113:619
3Al Shorta103438:613
4Al Taqadom1025312:1411
5Al-Mergheni100739:147
6Kober101273:175
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Madani10100024:630
2Umm Mughad1053218:818
3Al Hilal Manaqil1035210:714
4Rabita Kosti103167:1410
5Ahli Khartoum101367:216
6Merikh Kosti101277:175
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Merreikh II1064015:722
2Alfalah Atbra103435:413
3Al Saham Ad Damer1026210:912
4Al Hilal Karima1032511:1711
5Alamal SC Atbara102448:1010
6Al-Ahly Merowe101636:89
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hilal El-Fasher1054111:719
2Hay Al Wadi1043314:1315
3Haidob Al Nuhod1043313:815
4Al Fajr1033416:1812
5Zamala Ruwaba1032511:1311
6Al-Merreikh Obeid1031614:2010