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Alfaro vs CCD Alberite - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Navajas N.
6' Event
Navajas N.
14' Event
Perez A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 game between Alfaro and CCD Alberite finished 9-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alfaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Alfaro
20%
Draws
7%
CCD Alberite
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alfaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Alfaro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Alfaro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Alfaro Clean Sheet 13%
CCD Alberite Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfaro CCD Alberite
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 1.45 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.68 2.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Alfaro vs CCD Alberite
9:0
Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CCD Alberite vs Alfaro
2:5
May 17, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Alfaro vs CCD Alberite
0:0
Jan 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CCD Alberite vs Alfaro
0:0
Apr 13, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CCD Alberite vs Alfaro
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alfaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Navajas N.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez Sainz A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

CCD Alberite Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfaro 84 / 100
CCD Alberite 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfaro CCD Alberite

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alfaro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CCD Alberite conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Alfaro scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Solid form: Alfaro remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alfaro VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfaro

(Home)
04 Oct
Alfaro
2 : 1
CD Calahorra
27 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 2
Alfaro
20 Sept
Alfaro
1 : 2
Haro Deportivo
13 Sept
Alfaro
2 : 1
Yague
06 Sept
Calasancio
2 : 2
Alfaro
Page 1 of 7

CCD Alberite

(Away)
04 Oct
CCD Alberite
1 : 1
Puerto de Vega
27 Sept
Puerto de Vega
4 : 0
CCD Alberite
12 May
Varea
2 : 1
CCD Alberite
05 May
CCD Alberite
1 : 3
Haro Deportivo
01 May
Alfaro
9 : 0
CCD Alberite
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 23 7 4 67:19 76
2 Alfaro 34 23 7 4 80:36 76
3 CD Calahorra B 34 20 7 7 70:34 67
4 Anguiano 34 19 8 7 69:41 65
5 Varea 34 18 7 9 59:31 61
6 Oyonesa 34 17 7 10 46:28 58
7 Casalarreina CF 34 15 10 9 57:49 55
8 CDFC La Calzada 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
9 Berceo 34 13 8 13 43:44 47
10 Arnedo 34 11 9 14 36:48 42
11 Pena Balsamaiso 34 12 6 16 51:62 42
12 Racing Rioja 34 11 6 17 37:55 39
13 River Ebro 34 10 8 16 40:50 38
14 Vianes 34 9 6 19 30:62 33
15 Haro Deportivo 34 8 7 19 38:50 31
16 CD Tedeon 34 8 6 20 25:61 30
17 Comillas CF 34 3 15 16 38:59 24
18 CCD Alberite 34 4 5 25 37:103 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)