Sport Picks

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Alfaro vs Subiza

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Dios J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Alfaro and Subiza finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alfaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Alfaro
30%
Draws
39%
Subiza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Subiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Alfaro haven't matched Subiza's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Alfaro here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Alfaro Clean Sheet 19%
Subiza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfaro Subiza
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 6 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.96 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2025 Club Friendly
Alfaro vs Subiza
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Subiza vs Alfaro
3:0
Nov 17, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs Subiza
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alfaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Dios J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Subiza Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfaro 32 / 100
Subiza 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfaro Subiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Subiza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Subiza let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Alfaro scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Alfaro remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alfaro VS Subiza
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfaro

(Home)
13 Sept
Alfaro
2 : 1
Yague
06 Sept
Calasancio
2 : 2
Alfaro
07 Aug
Alfaro
0 : 4
Tudelano
01 May
Real Union
2 : 0
Alfaro
26 Apr
Alfaro
0 : 1
SD Logrones
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Subiza

(Away)
19 Sept
Ezcabarte
1 : 1
Subiza
13 Sept
Subiza
5 : 2
Valle Egues
05 Sept
Gazte Berriak
3 : 2
Subiza
30 Aug
Huesca B
4 : 1
Subiza
23 Aug
Subiza
2 : 2
Izarra
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