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Alfaro vs Subiza

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Dios J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Alfaro and Subiza finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alfaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Alfaro
40%
Draws
29%
Subiza
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Alfaro haven't matched Subiza's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Alfaro here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Alfaro Clean Sheet 11%
Subiza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfaro Subiza
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2025 Club Friendly
Alfaro vs Subiza
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Subiza vs Alfaro
3:0
Nov 17, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs Subiza
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alfaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Dios J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Subiza Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfaro 30 / 100
Subiza 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfaro Subiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Alfaro scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Subiza let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Alfaro remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alfaro VS Subiza
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfaro

(Home)
01 May
Real Union
2 : 0
Alfaro
26 Apr
Alfaro
0 : 1
SD Logrones
19 Apr
Alfaro
2 : 1
Naxara
12 Apr
Tudelano
3 : 1
Alfaro
02 Apr
Alfaro
3 : 1
Zaragoza B
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Subiza

(Away)
24 May
Izarra
4 : 0
Subiza
17 May
Subiza
1 : 0
Izarra
09 May
Beti Kozkor
0 : 0
Subiza
03 May
Pena
2 : 1
Subiza
26 Apr
Subiza
4 : 1
Valle Egues
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