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Alfaro vs Tudelano

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Alayeto I.
53' Event
Own Goal
58' Event
Soto D.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Alfaro and Tudelano finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tudelano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Alfaro
15%
Draws
57%
Tudelano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tudelano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tudelano come out ahead of Alfaro on wins alone.
  • Tudelano are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Alfaro Clean Sheet 12%
Tudelano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfaro Tudelano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Tudelano vs Alfaro
3:1
Nov 23, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs Tudelano
2:0
Feb 2, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Tudelano vs Alfaro
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs Tudelano
0:3
Aug 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Alfaro vs Tudelano
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alfaro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Tudelano Compare

Top Goalscorer Alayeto I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soto D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfaro 14 / 100
Tudelano 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfaro Tudelano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tudelano conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Tudelano registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Alfaro scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Alfaro VS Tudelano
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfaro

(Home)
07 Aug
Alfaro
0 : 4
Tudelano
01 May
Real Union
2 : 0
Alfaro
26 Apr
Alfaro
0 : 1
SD Logrones
19 Apr
Alfaro
2 : 1
Naxara
12 Apr
Tudelano
3 : 1
Alfaro
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Tudelano

(Away)
07 Aug
Alfaro
0 : 4
Tudelano
16 May
Real Oviedo B
2 : 1
Tudelano
09 May
Tudelano
0 : 1
Real Oviedo B
03 May
SD Logrones
0 : 1
Tudelano
26 Apr
Tudelano
1 : 2
Alaves B
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