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Alfaro vs UD Logrones

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Rosas B.
66' Event
Rivero Q.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Alfaro and UD Logrones finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Logrones.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Alfaro
6%
Draws
90%
UD Logrones
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UD Logrones

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Alfaro haven't matched UD Logrones's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on UD Logrones taking it.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Alfaro Clean Sheet 10%
UD Logrones Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfaro UD Logrones
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 1.5 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs UD Logrones
0:2
Jan 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
UD Logrones vs Alfaro
0:1
May 4, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
UD Logrones vs Alfaro
1:0
Dec 22, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs UD Logrones
0:0
Aug 3, 2017 Club Friendly
Alfaro vs UD Logrones
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alfaro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

UD Logrones Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosas B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfaro 10 / 100
UD Logrones 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfaro UD Logrones

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alfaro's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

UD Logrones's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Alfaro stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alfaro VS UD Logrones
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfaro

(Home)
01 May
Real Union
2 : 0
Alfaro
26 Apr
Alfaro
0 : 1
SD Logrones
19 Apr
Alfaro
2 : 1
Naxara
12 Apr
Tudelano
3 : 1
Alfaro
02 Apr
Alfaro
3 : 1
Zaragoza B
Page 1 of 6

UD Logrones

(Away)
30 May
San Sebastian Reyes
1 : 1
UD Logrones
24 May
UD Logrones
1 : 0
San Sebastian Reyes
16 May
UD Logrones
2 : 1
Getafe B
10 May
Getafe B
0 : 2
UD Logrones
03 May
Ebro
0 : 3
UD Logrones
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Union34209564:3569
2Alaves B341711641:2062
3UD Logrones34187973:3361
4Utebo FC341771056:4258
5Tudelano34169956:4057
6Amorebieta3413111038:3250
7Sestao341214840:3350
8Ebro341116742:3649
9Eibar B341471341:4249
10Basconia341114955:4347
11Gernika Club341291334:4045
12Naxara341181539:4841
13SD Logrones348131322:4037
14Beasain348121438:4636
15SD Ejea348111535:5535
16Mutilvera34862031:6530
17Zaragoza B34772032:5928
18Alfaro34672132:6025
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)