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Alfaro vs UD Logrones

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Rosas B.
66' Event
Rivero Q.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Alfaro and UD Logrones finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Logrones.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Alfaro
20%
Draws
61%
UD Logrones
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UD Logrones

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Alfaro haven't matched UD Logrones's recent run of results.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on UD Logrones taking it.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Alfaro Clean Sheet 13%
UD Logrones Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfaro UD Logrones
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 19
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 0.96 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.65 1.64
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs UD Logrones
0:2
Jan 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
UD Logrones vs Alfaro
0:1
May 4, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
UD Logrones vs Alfaro
1:0
Dec 22, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs UD Logrones
0:0
Aug 3, 2017 Club Friendly
Alfaro vs UD Logrones
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alfaro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.5
Avg xA / game 0.33

UD Logrones Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosas B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfaro 10 / 100
UD Logrones 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfaro UD Logrones

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Logrones Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alfaro's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

UD Logrones's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Alfaro stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alfaro VS UD Logrones
0.8 Goals Scored 1.88
1.4 Goals Conceded 0.5
60% Over 1.5 75%
60% Over 2.5 50%
40% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfaro

(Home)
13 Sept
Alfaro
2 : 1
Yague
06 Sept
Calasancio
2 : 2
Alfaro
07 Aug
Alfaro
0 : 4
Tudelano
01 May
Real Union
2 : 0
Alfaro
26 Apr
Alfaro
0 : 1
SD Logrones
Page 1 of 6

UD Logrones

(Away)
18 Sept
UD Logrones
1 : 1
Pontevedra
12 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 3
UD Logrones
06 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2
UD Logrones
31 Aug
UD Logrones
2 : 1
CD Extremadura
22 Aug
UD Logrones
4 : 0
Huesca B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)