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Alfonsine vs Sasso Marconi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2019/2020
Thu, Apr 9, 2020
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alfonsine host Sasso Marconi in the Serie D - Group D 2019/2020. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Alfonsine at 0.67 goals for, 1.38 against; Sasso Marconi at 1.1 for, 1.62 against. Past meetings favor Sasso Marconi slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 9, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.35 vs 0.86, favoring Sasso Marconi. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Alfonsine
20%
Draws
16%
Sasso Marconi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alfonsine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Sasso Marconi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Alfonsine are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Alfonsine Clean Sheet 20%
Sasso Marconi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfonsine Sasso Marconi
Matches Played 21 29
Wins 5 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 0.67 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Alfonsine vs Sasso Marconi
0:0
Dec 1, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Alfonsine
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfonsine 58 / 100
Sasso Marconi 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfonsine Sasso Marconi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alfonsine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sasso Marconi let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Difficult form: Sasso Marconi registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Alfonsine found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (21 games).

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sasso Marconi
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfonsine

(Home)
23 Feb
Alfonsine
0 : 1
Ciliverghe Mazzano
16 Feb
Sammaurese
0 : 0
Alfonsine
09 Feb
Alfonsine
1 : 0
Franciacorta
02 Feb
Breno
2 : 0
Alfonsine
26 Jan
Correggese
1 : 0
Alfonsine
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Sasso Marconi

(Away)
04 Oct
Sasso Marconi
0 : 2
Scandicci
27 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 1
Sasso Marconi
20 Sept
Sasso Marconi
0 : 1
Prato
16 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 2
Sasso Marconi
13 Sept
Sasso Marconi
1 : 3
San Donato Tavarnelle
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