Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Alianza Huanuco

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Carabano D.
29' Event
Pajoy L.
32'
Cuero J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 2 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
6%
Draws
90%
Alianza Huanuco
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alianza Huanuco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) haven't matched Alianza Huanuco's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Alianza Huanuco's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Clean Sheet 19%
Alianza Huanuco Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Alianza Huanuco
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2023 Liga 2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Alianza Huanuco
2:2
May 14, 2023 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
1:1
Sep 25, 2022 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
4:2
Jun 26, 2022 Liga 2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Alianza Huanuco
2:1
Nov 4, 2018 Copa Peru
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Alianza Huanuco
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Compare

Top Goalscorer Paladines B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Alianza Huanuco Compare

Top Goalscorer Carabano D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pajoy L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 10 / 100
Alianza Huanuco 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Alianza Huanuco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza Huanuco has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alianza Huanuco
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

(Home)
30 Sept
Santos FC
3 : 0
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
18 Sept
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
0 : 3
Juan Aurich
13 Sept
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
1 : 1
Ayacucho
05 Sept
Carlos Stein
3 : 0
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
31 Aug
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 1
U. San Martin
Page 1 of 6

Alianza Huanuco

(Away)
24 Jul
Comerciantes FC
1 : 0
Alianza Huanuco
18 Jul
Alianza Huanuco
3 : 2
Ayacucho
26 Jun
Alianza Huanuco
3 : 1
Union Minas
19 Jun
AD Tarma
3 : 1
Alianza Huanuco
14 Jun
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 1
Sport Huancayo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comerciantes Unidos26203354:2263
2Los Chankas26165572:2553
3Alianza Huanuco26156543:2551
4Llacuabamba26137644:3146
5Santos FC26126832:2442
6Comerciantes FC26116927:2639
7U. San Martin261061034:3036
8Deportivo Coopsol261061030:2936
9Juan Aurich26710923:2731
10Union Huaral26591222:3424
11Ayacucho26581337:5023
12Pirata26561522:5921
13Carlos Stein26152026:768
14Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)26691136:4427
Promotion - Liga 1 2024 (Apertura)
Promotion - Liga 2 2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)