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Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Ayacucho

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Paye E.
15'
Loayza G.
20' Event
Meza R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 2 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
6%
Draws
90%
Ayacucho
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ayacucho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) haven't matched Ayacucho's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ayacucho's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Clean Sheet 20%
Ayacucho Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Ayacucho
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2023 Liga 2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Ayacucho
1:1
Jun 20, 2023 Liga 2
Ayacucho vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
2:2
Sep 17, 2006 Liga 2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Ayacucho
0:0
Jun 25, 2006 Liga 2
Ayacucho vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Compare

Top Goalscorer Paye E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Ayacucho Compare

Top Goalscorer Meza R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 10 / 100
Ayacucho 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Ayacucho

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AYA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Ayacucho has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ayacucho
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comerciantes Unidos26203354:2263
2Los Chankas26165572:2553
3Alianza Huanuco26156543:2551
4Llacuabamba26137644:3146
5Santos FC26126832:2442
6Comerciantes FC26116927:2639
7U. San Martin261061034:3036
8Deportivo Coopsol261061030:2936
9Juan Aurich26710923:2731
10Union Huaral26591222:3424
11Ayacucho26581337:5023
12Pirata26561522:5921
13Carlos Stein26152026:768
14Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)26691136:4427