Sport Picks

Peru

Segunda Division 2014

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

2 - 0

Jose Galvez

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2014 game between Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) and Jose Galvez finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alfonso Ugarte (Puno).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

44%

Draws

20%

Jose Galvez

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) carry the better recent record into this one.
44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Clean Sheet 20%

Jose Galvez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)	Jose Galvez
Matches Played	35	30
Wins	10	7
Draws	10	9
Losses	15	14
Goals Scored	2.13	0
Goals Conceded	0.88	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2014 Liga 2

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Jose Galvez

Possession: 41% - 43% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

Jun 21, 2014 Liga 2

Jose Galvez vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

Possession: 46% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 36 / 100

Jose Galvez 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Jose Galvez

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JOS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jose Galvez's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) scored in 77% of their last 35 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Jose Galvez's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) VS -

2.13 Goals Scored 0

0.88 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dep. Municipal	30	18	7	5	49:29	61
2	Deportivo Coopsol	30	17	7	6	53:26	58
3	Carlos Mannucci	30	17	4	9	46:32	55
4	Alianza Huanuco	30	15	8	7	51:30	53
5	Willy Serrato	30	12	10	8	44:37	46
6	Union Huaral	30	11	7	12	38:37	40
7	Defensor San Alejandro	30	10	9	11	37:37	39
8	Atl. Minero	30	10	9	11	30:40	39
9	Atletico Torino	30	9	10	11	37:34	37
10	Pacifico	30	9	8	13	33:44	35
11	Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)	30	11	6	13	36:50	35
12	Sport Boys	30	8	13	9	42:47	33
13	Sport Victoria	30	7	10	13	31:38	31
14	Comerciantes Unidos	30	7	9	14	29:36	30
15	Jose Galvez	30	7	10	13	25:39	25
16	Walter Ormeno	30	4	9	17	21:46	19