Sport Picks
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Juan Aurich
Peru
Liga 2 2023 
AI Match Summary
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) host Juan Aurich in the Liga 2 2023. This one's hard to separate. Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) have averaged 0.33 scored and 2.33 conceded recently, against Juan Aurich's 0.5 scored and 1.63 conceded. Head-to-head, Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) have won 1 to Juan Aurich's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 18, 2023, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 0.98 vs 1.42, favoring Alfonso Ugarte (Puno). The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) lately — more wins on the board than Juan Aurich.
- Model gives Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) a 90% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga 2 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) | Juan Aurich |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 4 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 0.33 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.33 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.33 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.33 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Juan Aurich let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.50 goals.
Away concern: Juan Aurich has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)'s goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
(Home)Juan Aurich
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Comerciantes Unidos | 26 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 54:22 | 63 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 72:25 | 53 |
| 3 | Alianza Huanuco | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 43:25 | 51 |
| 4 | Llacuabamba | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 44:31 | 46 |
| 5 | Santos FC | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 32:24 | 42 |
| 6 | Comerciantes FC | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 39 |
| 7 | U. San Martin | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:30 | 36 |
| 8 | Deportivo Coopsol | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 30:29 | 36 |
| 9 | Juan Aurich | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:27 | 31 |
| 10 | Union Huaral | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 22:34 | 24 |
| 11 | Ayacucho | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 37:50 | 23 |
| 12 | Pirata | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 22:59 | 21 |
| 13 | Carlos Stein | 26 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 26:76 | 8 |
| 14 | Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 36:44 | 27 |