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Alfreton vs Mansfield

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Oates R.
36' Event
Oates R.
56' Event
Maris G.

AI Match Summary

Mansfield in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mansfield.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Alfreton
15%
Draws
28%
Mansfield
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alfreton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Alfreton haven't matched Mansfield's recent run of results.
  • Alfreton are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Mansfield have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Alfreton Clean Sheet 14%
Mansfield Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfreton Mansfield
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Alfreton vs Mansfield
0:4
Jul 30, 2024 Club Friendly
Alfreton vs Mansfield
1:1
Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Alfreton vs Mansfield
0:4
Jul 23, 2021 Club Friendly
Alfreton vs Mansfield
1:2
Jul 13, 2019 Club Friendly
Alfreton vs Mansfield
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alfreton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Mansfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Oates R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Maris G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfreton 84 / 100
Mansfield 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfreton Mansfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alfreton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alfreton's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Mansfield conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Mansfield registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alfreton VS Mansfield
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfreton

(Home)
05 Sept
Alfreton
0 : 2
Stratford
31 Aug
Whitby
1 : 4
Alfreton
29 Aug
Alfreton
1 : 2
Warrington Rylands
25 Aug
Alfreton
4 : 0
Hyde
22 Aug
Stockton
2 : 0
Alfreton
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Mansfield

(Away)
05 Sept
Bradford City
1 : 0
Mansfield
02 Sept
Reading
5 : 0
Mansfield
30 Aug
Mansfield
5 : 2
Luton
22 Aug
Peterborough
2 : 1
Mansfield
19 Aug
Mansfield
1 : 4
Manchester City U21
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