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Alga Bishkek vs Aldier

Kyrgyzstan Kyrgyzstan

Premier Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Zinkevych O.
50' Event
Merk K.
52' Event
Terzi Y.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Liga game between Alga Bishkek and Aldier finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alga Bishkek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Alga Bishkek
22%
Draws
18%
Aldier
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Alga Bishkek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Alga Bishkek haven't matched Aldier's recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Alga Bishkek taking it.
  • Regular Premier Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Alga Bishkek Clean Sheet 17%
Aldier Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alga Bishkek Aldier
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 10 9
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 2.13 2
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Premier Liga
Alga Bishkek vs Aldier
3:0
Oct 20, 2025 Premier Liga
Alga Bishkek vs Aldier
0:0
Apr 5, 2025 Premier Liga
Aldier vs Alga Bishkek
2:2
Sep 23, 2024 Premier Liga
Alga Bishkek vs Aldier
0:2
Aug 6, 2024 Premier Liga
Aldier vs Alga Bishkek
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alga Bishkek Compare

Top Goalscorer Zinkevych O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Merk K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Aldier Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alga Bishkek 57 / 100
Aldier 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alga Bishkek Aldier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Alga Bishkek remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Alga Bishkek scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Aldier has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Alga Bishkek VS Aldier
2.13 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alga Bishkek

(Home)
08 Jul
Alga Bishkek
1 : 1
Dordoi Bishkek
03 Jul
Abdysh-Ata Kant
0 : 1
Alga Bishkek
23 Jun
Alga Bishkek
3 : 1
Bars
13 Jun
Muras United
1 : 3
Alga Bishkek
27 May
Alga Bishkek
3 : 1
Bishkek City
Page 1 of 6

Aldier

(Away)
07 Jul
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
0 : 2
Aldier
01 Jul
Aldier
5 : 1
Ilbirs
22 Jun
Alay Osh
0 : 2
Aldier
13 Jun
Aldier
1 : 4
Ozgon
26 May
Aldier
1 : 2
Toktogul
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Muras United15113135:1436
2Alga Bishkek15105031:1335
3Bars15102343:2232
4Ozgon15102327:1432
5Asia Talas15102337:2632
6Alay Osh1574417:1525
7Aldier1565423:2123
8Dordoi Bishkek1553719:2118
9Talant1537515:1616
10Bishkek City1544715:2216
11Asiagoal Bishkek1535717:2614
12Neftchi Kochkor-Ata1542915:2514
13Ilbirs1527615:2613
14Toktogul15411013:2413
15Abdysh-Ata Kant15221112:278
16Kyrgyzaltyn15041112:344
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