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Algeciras vs Aguilas FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Estadio Nuevo Mirador, Algeciras
Algeciras Logo

Algeciras

1 - 1
FT
Aguilas FC Logo

Aguilas FC

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Merchan D.
Own Goal
19'
Carmona F.
19'
Castedo J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 2 game between Algeciras and Aguilas FC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Algeciras
30%
Draws
29%
Aguilas FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Algeciras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Aguilas FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Algeciras are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Algeciras Clean Sheet 68%
Aguilas FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algeciras Aguilas FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.11 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Algeciras vs Aguilas FC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeciras 59 / 100
Aguilas FC 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algeciras Aguilas FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Algeciras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algeciras scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Aguilas FC conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Algeciras stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Algeciras VS Aguilas FC
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Algeciras

(Home)
04 Oct
Algeciras
1 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
26 Sept
Torremolinos
1 : 2
Algeciras
20 Sept
Algeciras
1 : 1
Aguilas FC
11 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
4 : 2
Algeciras
04 Sept
Villarreal B
2 : 1
Algeciras
Page 1 of 6

Aguilas FC

(Away)
10 Oct
Aguilas FC
2 : 2
Huesca
03 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
4 : 1
Aguilas FC
26 Sept
Aguilas FC
0 : 1
Hercules
20 Sept
Algeciras
1 : 1
Aguilas FC
12 Sept
Aguilas FC
1 : 0
Real Madrid B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaragoza 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Villarreal B 7 4 2 1 15:9 14
3 Alcorcon 7 3 3 1 13:5 12
4 Jaen 7 3 3 1 11:8 12
5 Murcia 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
6 FC Cartagena SAD 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
7 Huesca 7 2 4 1 9:9 10
8 UD Ibiza 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
9 Hercules 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
10 Antequera 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
11 Real Madrid B 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
12 Atl. Madrid B 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
13 Sant Andreu 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
15 Algeciras 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
16 Aguilas FC 7 1 3 3 7:12 6
17 Teruel 7 1 2 4 3:12 5
18 Rayo Majadahonda 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
19 CE Europa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
20 Torremolinos 7 0 2 5 8:18 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)