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Algeciras vs Atletico Paso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Rubio R.

AI Match Summary

Algeciras in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Algeciras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Algeciras
30%
Draws
29%
Atletico Paso
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Algeciras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Algeciras haven't matched Atletico Paso's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Algeciras's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Algeciras Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Paso Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algeciras Atletico Paso
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 13
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.11 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Algeciras vs Atletico Paso
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Algeciras Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubio R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Atletico Paso Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeciras 50 / 100
Atletico Paso 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algeciras Atletico Paso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Algeciras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algeciras found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Algeciras has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Atletico Paso let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Algeciras VS Atletico Paso
1 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Algeciras

(Home)
04 Oct
Algeciras
1 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
26 Sept
Torremolinos
1 : 2
Algeciras
20 Sept
Algeciras
1 : 1
Aguilas FC
11 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
4 : 2
Algeciras
04 Sept
Villarreal B
2 : 1
Algeciras
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Atletico Paso

(Away)
03 Oct
Atletico Paso
1 : 0
Real Madrid C
27 Sept
Albacete B
2 : 2
Atletico Paso
19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1
Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 0
Atletico Paso
06 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 2
Numancia
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