Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Algeciras vs CMD San Juan

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Algeciras in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Algeciras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Algeciras
15%
Draws
54%
CMD San Juan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CMD San Juan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • CMD San Juan haven't matched Algeciras's recent run of results.
  • CMD San Juan are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Algeciras have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Algeciras Clean Sheet 20%
CMD San Juan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algeciras CMD San Juan
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Algeciras vs CMD San Juan
3:2
Dec 21, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CMD San Juan vs Algeciras
0:0
Apr 28, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CMD San Juan vs Algeciras
0:1
Dec 9, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Algeciras vs CMD San Juan
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeciras 28 / 100
CMD San Juan 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algeciras CMD San Juan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CMD San Juan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CMD San Juan conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Algeciras scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Algeciras stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Algeciras VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Algeciras

(Home)
04 Oct
Algeciras
1 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
26 Sept
Torremolinos
1 : 2
Algeciras
20 Sept
Algeciras
1 : 1
Aguilas FC
11 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
4 : 2
Algeciras
04 Sept
Villarreal B
2 : 1
Algeciras
Page 1 of 6

CMD San Juan

(Away)
15 May
Lebrijana
2 : 1
CMD San Juan
08 May
CMD San Juan
3 : 2
Los Barrios
01 May
Conil
1 : 2
CMD San Juan
24 Apr
CMD San Juan
3 : 0
San Roque de Cadiz
10 Apr
CMD San Juan
2 : 0
AD Ceuta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeciras 42 31 7 4 77:28 100
2 CD San Fernando 42 28 7 7 88:28 91
3 CD Gerena 42 28 3 11 89:38 87
4 Sanluqueno 42 26 5 11 74:40 83
5 AD Ceuta 42 20 12 10 50:32 72
6 Lebrijana 42 18 6 18 60:66 60
7 Conil 42 16 12 14 51:60 60
8 Sevilla C 42 15 13 14 42:45 58
9 Ecija 42 15 13 14 49:41 58
10 CD Alcala 42 15 12 15 40:52 57
11 Coria C.F. 42 16 9 17 48:42 57
12 San Roque de Cadiz 42 14 14 14 47:49 56
13 CMD San Juan 42 14 10 18 48:49 52
14 Los Barrios 42 15 7 20 45:50 52
15 CD Guadalcacin 42 14 10 18 39:48 52
16 Cabecense 42 12 13 17 36:54 49
17 Arcos CF 42 14 6 22 46:74 48
18 Mairena 42 11 11 20 42:55 44
19 PD Rociera 42 10 10 22 40:73 40
20 Cadiz B 42 9 11 22 45:54 38
21 La Palma CF 42 9 9 24 35:69 36
22 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 42 9 6 27 34:78 33
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)