Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Algeciras vs Hercules

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio Nuevo Mirador, Algeciras
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Sol F.
30'
Aviles J.
51'
Trujillo Hernandez A. C.

AI Match Summary

Hercules in this Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hercules.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Algeciras
15%
Draws
51%
Hercules
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hercules

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Algeciras lately — more wins on the board than Hercules.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Algeciras Clean Sheet 17%
Hercules Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algeciras Hercules
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Algeciras vs Hercules
0:2
Sep 12, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Hercules vs Algeciras
0:1
May 11, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Hercules vs Algeciras
1:2
Oct 11, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Algeciras vs Hercules
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Algeciras Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Hercules Compare

Top Goalscorer Sol F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vico F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeciras 36 / 100
Hercules 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algeciras Hercules

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hercules Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algeciras's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Hercules has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Away concern: Hercules has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Algeciras VS Hercules
1 Goals Scored 0.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Algeciras

(Home)
20 Sept
Algeciras
1 : 1
Aguilas FC
11 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
4 : 2
Algeciras
04 Sept
Villarreal B
2 : 1
Algeciras
29 Aug
Algeciras
1 : 3
FC Cartagena SAD
07 Aug
Algeciras
1 : 0
Atletico Paso
Page 1 of 6

Hercules

(Away)
20 Sept
Hercules
1 : 0
Torremolinos
12 Sept
CE Europa
1 : 2
Hercules
06 Sept
Hercules
0 : 2
Atl. Madrid B
29 Aug
Hercules
1 : 2
Murcia
14 Aug
Alcoyano
1 : 0
Hercules
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eldense 38 19 12 7 57:39 69
2 Sabadell 38 18 14 6 53:27 68
3 Atl. Madrid B 38 19 10 9 64:44 67
4 Villarreal B 38 16 15 7 54:32 63
5 CE Europa 38 16 12 10 55:50 60
6 FC Cartagena SAD 38 15 12 11 37:38 57
7 Antequera 38 16 8 14 47:44 56
8 Algeciras 38 15 10 13 40:41 55
9 Hercules 38 14 12 12 43:41 54
10 Murcia 38 14 10 14 43:40 52
11 Alcorcon 38 12 15 11 44:38 51
12 UD Ibiza 38 13 11 14 44:38 50
13 Teruel 38 12 13 13 27:33 49
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 38 13 8 17 40:49 47
15 Torremolinos 38 11 13 14 45:51 46
16 Betis B 38 12 9 17 48:59 45
17 Tarazona 38 11 12 15 31:40 45
18 Marbella 38 9 7 22 36:55 34
19 Sanluqueno 38 7 10 21 27:53 31
20 Sevilla B 38 5 13 20 21:44 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)