Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Algeciras vs Hercules

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio Nuevo Mirador, Algeciras
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Sol F.
30'
Aviles J.
51'
Trujillo Hernandez A. C.

AI Match Summary

Hercules in this Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hercules.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Algeciras
30%
Draws
47%
Hercules
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hercules

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Algeciras lately — more wins on the board than Hercules.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Hercules taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Algeciras Clean Sheet 19%
Hercules Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algeciras Hercules
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 11
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Algeciras vs Hercules
0:2
Sep 12, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Hercules vs Algeciras
0:1
May 11, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Hercules vs Algeciras
1:2
Oct 11, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Algeciras vs Hercules
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Algeciras Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Hercules Compare

Top Goalscorer Sol F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vico F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeciras 24 / 100
Hercules 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algeciras Hercules

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algeciras's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Hercules has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Algeciras remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Algeciras VS Hercules
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Algeciras

(Home)
01 Aug
Algeciras
1 : 2
Tottenham U21
23 May
Atl. Madrid B
3 : 1
Algeciras
16 May
Algeciras
0 : 2
Hercules
09 May
Sanluqueno
0 : 1
Algeciras
01 May
Algeciras
2 : 2
FC Cartagena SAD
Page 1 of 6

Hercules

(Away)
01 Aug
UCAM Murcia
1 : 1
Hercules
23 May
Hercules
1 : 1
Gimnastic de Tarragona
16 May
Algeciras
0 : 2
Hercules
09 May
Hercules
2 : 1
UD Ibiza
03 May
Villarreal B
1 : 0
Hercules
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eldense 38 19 12 7 57:39 69
2 Sabadell 38 18 14 6 53:27 68
3 Atl. Madrid B 38 19 10 9 64:44 67
4 Villarreal B 38 16 15 7 54:32 63
5 CE Europa 38 16 12 10 55:50 60
6 FC Cartagena SAD 38 15 12 11 37:38 57
7 Antequera 38 16 8 14 47:44 56
8 Algeciras 38 15 10 13 40:41 55
9 Hercules 38 14 12 12 43:41 54
10 Murcia 38 14 10 14 43:40 52
11 Alcorcon 38 12 15 11 44:38 51
12 UD Ibiza 38 13 11 14 44:38 50
13 Teruel 38 12 13 13 27:33 49
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 38 13 8 17 40:49 47
15 Torremolinos 38 11 13 14 45:51 46
16 Betis B 38 12 9 17 48:59 45
17 Tarazona 38 11 12 15 31:40 45
18 Marbella 38 9 7 22 36:55 34
19 Sanluqueno 38 7 10 21 27:53 31
20 Sevilla B 38 5 13 20 21:44 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)