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Algeria U20 vs Lebanon U20

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Arab Cup U20
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AI Match Summary

Algeria U20 play Lebanon U20 in the Arab Cup U20. Algeria U20 are favorites here. Recently, Algeria U20 averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Lebanon U20 averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.78 conceded. In past meetings, Algeria U20 won 1, Lebanon U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 21, 2022 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.24 for Algeria U20 and 1.23 for Lebanon U20. This points to a Algeria U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Algeria U20
23%
Draws
21%
Lebanon U20
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Algeria U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Algeria U20 picked up more points recently compared to Lebanon U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.24 vs 1.23 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Algeria U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Lebanon U20 Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algeria U20 Lebanon U20
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 12 5
Draws 9 3
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2022 Arab Cup U20
Algeria U20 vs Lebanon U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Algeria U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Adjaoudi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ben Hamed Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Lebanon U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bahlawan O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.87

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeria U20 54 / 100
Lebanon U20 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algeria U20 Lebanon U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Algeria U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Algeria U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Algeria U20 attacking → ← attacking Lebanon U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algeria U20 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Lebanon U20 let in goals in 83% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Algeria U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Lebanon U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 18
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.57
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.86

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Saudi Arabia U2022006:16
2Mauritania U2021011:23
3Iraq U2020021:50
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jordan U2021102:14
2Yemen U2021013:23
3United Arab Emirates U2020112:41
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Algeria U2022005:26
2Libya U2021013:33
3Lebanon U2020021:40
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Egypt U2022003:06
2Oman U2021012:13
3Somalia U2020020:40
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tunisia U2022009:06
2Bahrain U2021012:33
3Djibouti U2020020:80
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Morocco U2022005:26
2Palestine U2021015:43
3Sudan U2020025:90