Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Hocine Ait Ahmed Stadium, Tizi Ouzou

Algeria

5 - 1

Liberia

Our Tip

Match Events

Dweh S.

Assist: Toe D.

20'

Mandi A.

21'

Koulibaly A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Algeria in this Africa Cup of Nations 2025 tie, finishing 5-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Algeria

20%

Draws

29%

Liberia

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Algeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence

Algeria have won more games recently than Liberia.
Algeria are the model's pick here, at 36%.
Algeria have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Algeria, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Algeria have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Algeria Clean Sheet 20%

Liberia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Algeria	Liberia
Matches Played	33	24
Wins	20	6
Draws	8	7
Losses	5	11
Goals Scored	1.97	1
Goals Conceded	0.73	1.58
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Algeria vs Liberia

5:1

Sep 10, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Liberia vs Algeria

0:3

Jun 17, 2021 Friendly International

Algeria vs Liberia

5:1

Oct 11, 2008 World Championship

Liberia vs Algeria

0:0

Jun 6, 2008 World Championship

Algeria vs Liberia

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Algeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Mandi A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mahrez R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Liberia Compare

Top Goalscorer Dweh S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeria 36 / 100

Liberia 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Algeria Liberia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liberia has conceded goals in 92% of their last 24 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Algeria scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Algeria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Algeria VS Liberia

2.13 Goals Scored 0.63

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63

75% Over 1.5 25%

63% Over 2.5 25%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Algeria

(Home)

25 Sept

Algeria

3 : 1

Zambia

03 Jul

Switzerland

2 : 0

Algeria

28 Jun

Algeria

3 : 3

Austria

23 Jun

Jordan

1 : 2

Algeria

17 Jun

Argentina

3 : 0

Algeria

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Liberia

(Away)

25 Sept

Rwanda

3 : 1

Liberia

09 Jun

Liberia

3 : 1

Sierra Leone

06 Jun

Sierra Leone

1 : 0

Liberia

31 Mar

Liberia

2 : 2

Libya

27 Mar

Benin

1 : 0

Liberia

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