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Algeria vs Mauritania Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Algeria and Mauritania finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Algeria
30%
Draws
33%
Mauritania
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Algeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Mauritania haven't matched Algeria's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Algeria a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Algeria Clean Sheet 20%
Mauritania Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algeria Mauritania
Matches Played 32 26
Wins 18 7
Draws 9 10
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2025 Friendly International
Algeria vs Mauritania
2:2
Jan 23, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Mauritania vs Algeria
1:0
Dec 14, 2022 Friendly International
Algeria vs Mauritania
0:0
Jun 3, 2021 Friendly International
Algeria vs Mauritania
4:1
Jan 10, 2017 Friendly International
Algeria vs Mauritania
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeria 36 / 100
Mauritania 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algeria Mauritania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Algeria scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Algeria went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mauritania has conceded goals in 58% of their last 26 outings.

Scoring Trends

Algeria VS Mauritania
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Algeria

(Home)
29 Sept
Burundi
2 : 2
Algeria
25 Sept
Algeria
3 : 1
Zambia
03 Jul
Switzerland
2 : 0
Algeria
28 Jun
Algeria
3 : 3
Austria
23 Jun
Jordan
1 : 2
Algeria
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Mauritania

(Away)
29 Sept
Benin
2 : 1
Mauritania
24 Sept
Mauritania
3 : 1
Central Africa
08 Jun
Niger
0 : 1
Mauritania
05 Jun
Angola
1 : 1
Mauritania
27 Mar
Argentina
2 : 1
Mauritania
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