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Algeria vs Niger - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

African Nations Championship Nyayo National Stadium, Nairobi
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Match Events

47'
Djingarey I.
60'
Sub
Danja S. In: Ahamat A.
Out: Danja S.
68'
Sub
Bayazid S. In: Mahious A.
Out: Bayazid S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this African Nations Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Algeria
30%
Draws
23%
Niger
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Algeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Algeria lately — more wins on the board than Niger.
  • Model gives Algeria a 47% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this African Nations Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Algeria here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Algeria Clean Sheet 68%
Niger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algeria Niger
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 17 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.87 1
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Friendly International
Algeria vs Niger
2:1
Aug 18, 2025 African Nations Championship
Algeria vs Niger
0:0
Mar 27, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations
Niger vs Algeria
0:1
Mar 23, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations
Algeria vs Niger
2:1
Jan 31, 2023 African Nations Championship
Algeria vs Niger
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeria 77 / 100
Niger 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algeria Niger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Algeria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algeria found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Niger has conceded goals in 62% of their last 26 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Algeria stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Algeria VS Niger
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Algeria

(Home)
06 Oct
Algeria
2 : 1
Niger
29 Sept
Burundi
2 : 2
Algeria
25 Sept
Algeria
3 : 1
Zambia
03 Jul
Switzerland
2 : 0
Algeria
28 Jun
Algeria
3 : 3
Austria
Page 1 of 6

Niger

(Away)
06 Oct
Algeria
2 : 1
Niger
29 Sept
Gabon
2 : 0
Niger
25 Sept
Niger
2 : 1
Lesotho
08 Jun
Niger
0 : 1
Mauritania
05 Jun
Benin
1 : 1
Niger
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kenya 4 3 1 0 4:1 10
2 Morocco 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
3 D.R. Congo 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
4 Angola 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
5 Zambia 4 0 0 4 2:8 0
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania 4 3 1 0 5:1 10
2 Madagascar 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Mauritania 4 2 1 1 2:1 7
4 Burkina Faso 4 1 0 3 5:7 3
5 Central Africa 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
2 Algeria 4 1 3 0 5:2 6
3 South Africa 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
4 Guinea 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
5 Niger 4 0 2 2 0:3 2
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sudan 3 1 2 0 5:1 5
2 Senegal 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Nigeria 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Congo 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)