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Algeria vs South Africa Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

African Nations Championship Nelson Mandela National Stadium, Kampala
Algeria Logo

Algeria

1 - 1
FT
South Africa Logo

South Africa

Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Mashego T.
29' Event
Belhocini A.
45' Event
Kutumela T.
Assist: Masuku M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this African Nations Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Algeria
20%
Draws
48%
South Africa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: South Africa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Algeria have won more games recently than South Africa.
  • South Africa are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Algeria Clean Sheet 23%
South Africa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algeria South Africa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 8 11
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.86 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2025 African Nations Championship
Algeria vs South Africa
1:1
Mar 26, 2024 Friendly International
Algeria vs South Africa
3:3
Jan 19, 2015 Africa Cup of Nations
Algeria vs South Africa
3:1
Jan 12, 2013 Friendly International
South Africa vs Algeria
0:0
Feb 18, 2011 African Nations Championship
South Africa vs Algeria
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Algeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Belhocini A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

South Africa Compare

Top Goalscorer Kutumela T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeria 24 / 100
South Africa 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algeria South Africa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Africa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algeria found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

South Africa let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Algeria went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Algeria VS South Africa
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Algeria

(Home)
29 Sept
Burundi
2 : 2
Algeria
25 Sept
Algeria
3 : 1
Zambia
03 Jul
Switzerland
2 : 0
Algeria
28 Jun
Algeria
3 : 3
Austria
23 Jun
Jordan
1 : 2
Algeria
Page 1 of 6

South Africa

(Away)
04 Oct
Egypt
0 : 1
South Africa
30 Sept
Eritrea
0 : 5
South Africa
26 Sept
South Africa
2 : 1
Guinea
28 Jun
South Africa
0 : 1
Canada
25 Jun
South Africa
1 : 0
South Korea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kenya 4 3 1 0 4:1 10
2 Morocco 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
3 D.R. Congo 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
4 Angola 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
5 Zambia 4 0 0 4 2:8 0
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania 4 3 1 0 5:1 10
2 Madagascar 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Mauritania 4 2 1 1 2:1 7
4 Burkina Faso 4 1 0 3 5:7 3
5 Central Africa 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
2 Algeria 4 1 3 0 5:2 6
3 South Africa 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
4 Guinea 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
5 Niger 4 0 2 2 0:3 2
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sudan 3 1 2 0 5:1 5
2 Senegal 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Nigeria 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Congo 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)