Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade Prince Moulay Hassan, Rabat

Algeria

3 - 0

Sudan

Our Tip

Match Events

Mahrez R.

Assist: Boudaoui H.

14'

Adil S.

39'

Adil S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Algeria in this Africa Cup of Nations 2025 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%

Algeria

15%

Draws

26%

Sudan

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Algeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence

Algeria have won more games recently than Sudan.
Algeria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Algeria have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Algeria, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%

Algeria Clean Sheet 68%

Sudan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Algeria	Sudan
Matches Played	32	27
Wins	18	6
Draws	8	9
Losses	6	12
Goals Scored	1.91	0.67
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.15
Expected Goals (xG)	1.79	0.53
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 24, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations

Algeria vs Sudan

3:0

Dec 3, 2025 FIFA Arab Cup

Algeria vs Sudan

0:0

Aug 23, 2025 African Nations Championship

Sudan vs Algeria

2:1

Sep 29, 2022 Friendly International

Algeria vs Sudan

2:0

Dec 1, 2021 FIFA Arab Cup

Algeria vs Sudan

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Algeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahrez R.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Maza I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.38

Avg xA / game 0.9

Sudan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.29

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeria 95 / 100

Sudan 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Algeria Sudan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Algeria Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algeria's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Sudan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Algeria has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Algeria VS Sudan

2 Goals Scored 0.43

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.57

63% Over 1.5 57%

50% Over 2.5 43%

25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Algeria

(Home)

03 Jul

Switzerland

2 : 0

Algeria

28 Jun

Algeria

3 : 3

Austria

23 Jun

Jordan

1 : 2

Algeria

17 Jun

Argentina

3 : 0

Algeria

11 Jun

Bolivia

0 : 4

Algeria

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Sudan

(Away)

03 Jan

Senegal

3 : 1

Sudan

31 Dec

Sudan

0 : 2

Burkina Faso

28 Dec

Equatorial Guinea

0 : 1

Sudan

24 Dec

Algeria

3 : 0

Sudan

09 Dec

Bahrain

3 : 1

Sudan

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