Sport Picks

Algeria vs Zambia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Hocine Ait Ahmed Stadium, Tizi Ouzou

Algeria

3 - 1

Zambia

Our Tip

Match Events

Chaiwa M.

Own Goal

20'

Sub

Gouiri A. In: Chiakha A.

Out: Gouiri A.

46'

Sub

Daka P. In: Simukonda D.

Out: Daka P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Algeria

30%

Draws

23%

Zambia

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Algeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Algeria lately — more wins on the board than Zambia.
Win probability leans Algeria's way, sitting at 90%.
Algeria have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Algeria, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%

Algeria Clean Sheet 68%

Zambia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Algeria	Zambia
Matches Played	31	26
Wins	18	8
Draws	8	4
Losses	5	14
Goals Scored	1.94	1
Goals Conceded	0.84	1.54
Expected Goals (xG)	2.10	0.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations

Algeria vs Zambia

3:1

Mar 25, 2021 Africa Cup of Nations

Zambia vs Algeria

3:3

Nov 14, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations

Algeria vs Zambia

5:0

Sep 5, 2017 World Championship

Algeria vs Zambia

0:1

Sep 2, 2017 World Championship

Zambia vs Algeria

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Algeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Maza I.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Hadj Moussa A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.62

Avg xA / game 1.05

Zambia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sakala F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.27

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeria 95 / 100

Zambia 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Algeria Zambia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Algeria Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Algeria scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Zambia has conceded goals in 62% of their last 26 outings.

Recent resilience: Algeria stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Algeria VS Zambia

2 Goals Scored 0.6

0.38 Goals Conceded 2.2

50% Over 1.5 80%

38% Over 2.5 60%

25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Algeria

(Home)

06 Oct

Algeria

2 : 1

Niger

29 Sept

Burundi

2 : 2

Algeria

25 Sept

Algeria

3 : 1

Zambia

03 Jul

Switzerland

2 : 0

Algeria

28 Jun

Algeria

3 : 3

Austria

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Zambia

(Away)

29 Sept

Zambia

2 : 0

Togo

25 Sept

Algeria

3 : 1

Zambia

31 Mar

Argentina

5 : 0

Zambia

29 Dec

Zambia

0 : 3

Morocco

26 Dec

Zambia

0 : 0

Comoros

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