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Algeria W vs Botswana W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024 Stade Pere-Jego, Casablanca
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Karchouni G.
53'
Belloumou I.
69'
Sub
Johannes B. In: Senwelo L.
Out: Johannes B.

AI Match Summary

Algeria W in this Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Algeria W
20%
Draws
38%
Botswana W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Algeria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Botswana W haven't matched Algeria W's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Algeria W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Algeria W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Algeria W Clean Sheet 20%
Botswana W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algeria W Botswana W
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 16 9
Draws 4 11
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.32 1
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Algeria W vs Botswana W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Algeria W Compare

Top Goalscorer Karchouni G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Botswana W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeria W 32 / 100
Botswana W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algeria W Botswana W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botswana W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algeria W's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Botswana W conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

Algeria W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Algeria W VS Botswana W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Algeria W

(Home)
15 Aug
Morocco W
1 : 2
Algeria W
12 Aug
Algeria W
1 : 3
Malawi W
08 Aug
Ivory Coast W
1 : 2
Algeria W
03 Aug
Kenya W
0 : 2
Algeria W
30 Jul
Morocco W
1 : 0
Algeria W
Page 1 of 6

Botswana W

(Away)
29 Sept
Botswana W
4 : 1
Namibia W
26 Sept
Botswana W
1 : 1
Namibia W
12 Apr
Saudi Arabia U20 W
0 : 3
Botswana W
10 Apr
Saudi Arabia W
1 : 1
Botswana W
24 Feb
Zimbabwe W
1 : 0
Botswana W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco W 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 Zambia W 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
3 Senegal W 3 1 0 2 6:4 3
4 D.R. Congo W 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigeria W 3 2 1 0 4:0 7
2 Algeria W 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
3 Botswana W 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Tunisia W 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa W 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Ghana W 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Mali W 3 1 1 1 2:5 4
4 Tanzania W 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams