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Alghero vs Pro Sesto

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Serie C2/A 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

The Serie C2/A 2009/2010 game between Alghero and Pro Sesto finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alghero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Alghero
20%
Draws
50%
Pro Sesto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pro Sesto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pro Sesto come out ahead of Alghero on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pro Sesto a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Alghero Clean Sheet 10%
Pro Sesto Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alghero Pro Sesto
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2010 Lega Pro C2/A
Alghero vs Pro Sesto
2:0
Sep 19, 2009 Lega Pro C2/A
Pro Sesto vs Alghero
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alghero 10 / 100
Pro Sesto 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alghero Pro Sesto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pro Sesto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alghero found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Pro Sesto let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Alghero went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alghero VS Pro Sesto
1 Goals Scored 1.5
5.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alghero

(Home)
11 Aug
Latte Dolce
4 : 2
Alghero
31 Jul
Sassari Torres
7 : 0
Alghero
13 Aug
Sassari Torres
2 : 0
Alghero
09 May
Alghero
3 : 0
Pro Belvedere V.
02 May
Spezia
2 : 0
Alghero
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Pro Sesto

(Away)
03 May
Correggese
1 : 0
Pro Sesto
26 Apr
Pro Sesto
2 : 0
Tuttocuoio
19 Apr
Piacenza
3 : 1
Pro Sesto
12 Apr
Pro Sesto
0 : 0
Pistoiese
02 Apr
Pro Palazzolo
0 : 0
Pro Sesto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sudtirol 34 18 9 7 33:23 63
2 Spezia 34 16 12 6 47:27 60
3 Legnano 34 16 11 7 49:31 59
4 Alghero 34 15 12 7 43:25 57
5 FeralpiSalo 34 14 15 5 41:32 57
6 Pavia 34 15 12 7 49:32 57
7 Rodengo Saiano 34 12 14 8 40:32 50
8 Crociati 34 9 15 10 36:37 42
9 Olbia 34 8 18 8 32:27 42
10 Sambonifacese 34 10 12 12 44:46 42
11 Valenzana 34 9 14 11 24:29 41
12 Pro Vercelli 34 11 8 15 31:37 41
13 Canavese 34 9 13 12 31:39 40
14 Mezzocorona 34 11 6 17 42:46 39
15 Villacidrese 34 10 9 15 38:43 39
16 Carpenedolo 34 9 8 17 34:50 35
17 Pro Belvedere V. 34 5 13 16 15:39 28
18 Pro Sesto 34 5 7 22 24:58 22
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie C1/A 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)