Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alhama W vs Real Sociedad W

Spain Spain

Liga F Women 2025/2026 Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, Lorca
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Martinez B.
Assist: Pinel R.
18' Event
Lavogez C.
Assist: Marcos C.
32' Event
Fernandez P.

AI Match Summary

Real Sociedad W in this Liga F Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Sociedad W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Alhama W
6%
Draws
90%
Real Sociedad W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Real Sociedad W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real Sociedad W lately — more wins on the board than Alhama W.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Real Sociedad W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Real Sociedad W here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Alhama W Clean Sheet 10%
Real Sociedad W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alhama W Real Sociedad W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 19
Draws 3 5
Losses 23 5
Goals Scored 1.13 2
Goals Conceded 2.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Liga F Women
Alhama W vs Real Sociedad W
1:5
Nov 23, 2025 Liga F Women
Real Sociedad W vs Alhama W
3:1
Apr 15, 2023 Liga F Women
Alhama W vs Real Sociedad W
1:1
Jan 7, 2023 Liga F Women
Real Sociedad W vs Alhama W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alhama W Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Real Sociedad W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lavogez C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alhama W 10 / 100
Real Sociedad W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alhama W Real Sociedad W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RSO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Alhama W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Alhama W found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Real Sociedad W has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alhama W VS Real Sociedad W
1.13 Goals Scored 2
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alhama W

(Home)
31 May
Athletic Bilbao W
4 : 1
Alhama W
26 May
Alhama W
2 : 2
Levante W
09 May
Eibar W
2 : 0
Alhama W
01 May
Alhama W
3 : 1
Espanyol W
26 Apr
Dep. A Coruna W
2 : 2
Alhama W
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Real Sociedad W

(Away)
31 May
Real Sociedad W
2 : 0
Atl. Madrid W
27 May
Barcelona W
2 : 1
Real Sociedad W
09 May
Real Sociedad W
3 : 0
Granada CF W
03 May
Dep. A Coruna W
1 : 2
Real Sociedad W
26 Apr
Real Sociedad W
2 : 0
Madrid CFF W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona W302901130:987
2Real Madrid W30233465:1872
3Real Sociedad W30206461:2766
4Costa Adeje Tenerife W301412449:2254
5Atl. Madrid W30149763:3951
6Granada CF W301361136:4245
7Athletic Bilbao W301281035:4444
8Sevilla W301251333:4641
9Badalona W301091128:4639
10Madrid CFF W301141541:5937
11Espanyol W307101328:4431
12Dep. A Coruna W30871534:5431
13Eibar W30841818:4728
14Logrono Dux W30491729:5421
15Alhama W30352223:7814
16Levante W30232518:629
Promotion - Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - Second stage)
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women (Main)