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Alhaurin vs Guadix

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019 game between Alhaurin and Guadix finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alhaurin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Alhaurin
20%
Draws
10%
Guadix
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alhaurin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Guadix haven't matched Alhaurin's recent run of results.
  • Alhaurin are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Alhaurin Clean Sheet 17%
Guadix Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alhaurin Guadix
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 11 3
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.15 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Alhaurin vs Guadix
5:1
Dec 9, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs Alhaurin
1:1
Mar 26, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Alhaurin vs Guadix
2:1
Nov 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs Alhaurin
5:1
Mar 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Alhaurin vs Guadix
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alhaurin 84 / 100
Guadix 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alhaurin Guadix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alhaurin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadix let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Alhaurin scored in 65% of their last 34 outings.

Solid form: Alhaurin remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alhaurin VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alhaurin

(Home)
24 Apr
Marbella
5 : 0
Alhaurin
17 Apr
Alhaurin
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
09 Apr
Huetor Tajar
4 : 1
Alhaurin
03 Apr
Alhaurin
0 : 0
Torremolinos
27 Mar
Atletico de Porcuna
0 : 1
Alhaurin
Page 1 of 7

Guadix

(Away)
19 May
Antequera
6 : 1
Guadix
12 May
Guadix
0 : 3
Torremolinos
05 May
Alhaurin
5 : 1
Guadix
27 Apr
Guadix
2 : 2
El Palo
14 Apr
Motril
5 : 0
Guadix
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jaen 42 32 5 5 99:32 101
2 Linares 42 27 6 9 79:32 87
3 Antequera 42 24 10 8 90:35 82
4 El Palo 42 24 9 9 65:34 81
5 Velez 42 18 14 10 56:40 68
6 Motril 42 20 8 14 79:59 68
7 Loja 42 18 8 16 68:64 62
8 Mancha 42 16 12 14 59:52 60
9 Alhaurin 42 16 11 15 73:69 59
10 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 42 16 10 16 74:59 58
11 CD Torreperogil 42 16 10 16 43:52 58
12 Huetor Vega 42 16 9 17 56:65 57
13 Huetor Tajar 42 15 12 15 65:55 57
14 CP Almeria 42 15 12 15 53:57 57
15 CD Alhaurino 42 14 14 14 72:66 56
16 Torremolinos 42 15 8 19 57:65 53
17 Rincon 42 14 10 18 45:63 52
18 Martos 42 12 8 22 41:70 44
19 Atarfe Industrial 42 12 6 24 49:79 42
20 UD San Pedro 42 11 8 23 48:75 41
21 Guadix 42 8 11 23 44:95 35
22 River Melilla 42 2 1 39 28:125 4
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)