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Alhaurin vs Jaen

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Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2021/2022
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2021/2022 game between Alhaurin and Jaen finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Alhaurin
20%
Draws
47%
Jaen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jaen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jaen come out ahead of Alhaurin on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Jaen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Alhaurin Clean Sheet 20%
Jaen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alhaurin Jaen
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 8 20
Draws 6 10
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 0.87 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Alhaurin vs Jaen
0:0
Nov 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Jaen vs Alhaurin
2:2
Mar 15, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Alhaurin vs Jaen
0:0
Nov 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Jaen vs Alhaurin
6:1
Apr 7, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Jaen vs Alhaurin
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alhaurin 12 / 100
Jaen 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alhaurin Jaen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alhaurin's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Alhaurin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Jaen let in goals in 59% of their last 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jaen
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alhaurin

(Home)
24 Apr
Marbella
5 : 0
Alhaurin
17 Apr
Alhaurin
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
09 Apr
Huetor Tajar
4 : 1
Alhaurin
03 Apr
Alhaurin
0 : 0
Torremolinos
27 Mar
Atletico de Porcuna
0 : 1
Alhaurin
Page 1 of 6

Jaen

(Away)
12 Sept
Teruel
0 : 1
Jaen
06 Sept
Jaen
2 : 2
Huesca
30 Aug
CE Europa
0 : 3
Jaen
06 Aug
Jaen
1 : 2
Cordoba
01 Aug
Linares
0 : 2
Jaen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torremolinos 32 17 12 3 45:21 63
2 Huetor Tajar 32 16 10 6 56:30 58
3 Marbella 32 18 4 10 53:26 58
4 Almeria B 32 16 9 7 59:31 57
5 Malaga B 32 17 6 9 51:38 57
6 Motril 32 17 5 10 59:37 56
7 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 32 14 13 5 55:35 55
8 Torre del Mar 32 14 7 11 52:40 49
9 Atletico de Porcuna 32 11 9 12 42:47 42
10 El Palo 32 11 8 13 40:40 41
11 Huetor Vega 32 9 12 11 33:38 39
12 CD Torreperogil 32 10 8 14 28:36 38
13 Jaen 32 9 12 11 31:43 36
14 Alhaurin 32 9 7 16 28:49 34
15 UD San Pedro 32 7 7 18 26:48 28
16 CD Alhaurino 32 6 9 17 40:53 27
17 Intergym Melilla 32 0 4 28 13:99 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2021/2022 (Play Offs)